Match Info

Starligue - Round 3

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect


	Montpellier HB		HBC Nantes

	1	X	2
	2.05	8.00	2.20
	1.80	7.00	2.40
	2.08	9.50	2.02
	2.19	6.9	2.04	Watch
	2.10	8.80	2.00	Watch
	2.06	8.00	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.3)	8.03 ↑ (8)	2.14 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier HB
45.2%

Draw
11.5%

HBC Nantes
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

11.7%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

11.6%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier HB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

HBC Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montpellier HB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 1.

In recent outings, Montpellier has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nantes is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Nantes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Montpellier has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 569:610 (averaging 28.5:30.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Montpellier against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with 371:385 goals (averaging 28.5:29.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Nantes	5	4	0	1	172:141	8
4	Montpellier	5	3	1	1	173:146	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HB
EHF Champions League
17.09.26	Montpellier HB - Barcelona	27:28 ✺
French Starligue Handball
13.09.26	USAM Nimes - Montpellier HB	33:38 ✺
EHF Champions League
10.09.26	Dinamo Bucureşti - Montpellier HB	23:27 ✺
French Starligue Handball
04.09.26	Montpellier HB - Chartres	41:22 ✺
French Trophee des Champions
29.08.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier HB	21:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL
- HBC Nantes
EHF Champions League
16.09.26	Vardar - HBC Nantes	32:33 ✺
French Starligue Handball
12.09.26	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	38:28 ✺
EHF Champions League
09.09.26	HBC Nantes - Wisła Płock	26:25 ✺
French Starligue Handball
05.09.26	Tremblay - HBC Nantes	28:38 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
26.08.26	HBC Nantes - Caen	34:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Hanbdall
23.08.26	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	29:33
Coupe de France Handball
23.05.26	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	27:24
French Starligue Handball
19.04.26	HBC Nantes - Montpellier HB	35:32
18.10.25	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	31:31
15.02.25	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	27:29
29.09.24	HBC Nantes - Montpellier HB	29:26
17.05.24	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	31:33

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