Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Nava		Atlético Valladolid

	1	X	2
	2.8	8	1.75	Watch
	2.65	8.2	1.67
	2.68	7.4	1.71	Watch
	2.63	7.5	1.67
	2.58	8.8	1.72	Watch
	2.66	9	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.64)	8.15 ↓ (9.21)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nava
34.6%

Draw
11.3%

Atlético Valladolid
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

9.9%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

9.7%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Atlético Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nava than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Valladolid than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nava - Atlético Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Atlético Valladolid will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nava won 2.

Nava has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético Valladolid is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlético Valladolid could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nava won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 346:346. (average 28.8:28.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nava won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 178:167. (average 29.7:27.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Nava
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
17.12.25	EÓN Alicante - Nava	38:35 ✺
14.12.25	Nava - Naturhouse La Rioja	21:17 ✺
11.12.25	Reale Ademar - Nava	32:29 ✺
07.12.25	Torrelavega - Nava	28:25 ✺
28.11.25	Nava - Quabit Guadalajara	29:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLL
- Atlético Valladolid
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
17.12.25	Atlético Valladolid - Reale Ademar	30:30 ✺
13.12.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Atlético Valladolid	25:30 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Valladolid - Caserio Ciudad Real	34:30 ✺
29.11.25	Bidasoa Irun - Atlético Valladolid	34:24 ✺
21.11.25	Atlético Valladolid - BM Granollers	29:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
15.02.25	Atlético Valladolid - Nava	35:32
21.09.24	Nava - Atlético Valladolid	38:33
14.04.24	Atlético Valladolid - Nava	32:29
11.11.23	Nava - Atlético Valladolid	23:22
08.05.22	Atlético Valladolid - Nava	28:28
Club Friendly Hanbdall
21.01.22	Atlético Valladolid - Nava	32:26
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.11.21	Nava - Atlético Valladolid	29:29

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