Match Info

Copa del Rey - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday

Location: Pabellon Pedro Ferrandiz (Alicante)


	Nava		BM Ciudad Encantada

	1	X	2
	3.00	8.75	1.57
	3	8.4	1.54
	3.24	7.88	1.52	Watch
	3	8	1.5
	3.02	9.2	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.12)	8.45 ↓ (9.04)	1.54 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nava
29.9%

Draw
10.8%

BM Ciudad Encantada
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

10.1%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

10.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nava's form might have worsened.

BM Ciudad Encantada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BM Ciudad Encantada's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nava than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BM Ciudad Encantada than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BM Ciudad Encantada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nava - BM Ciudad Encantada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nava won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Ciudad Encantada is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nava won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 309:319. (average 28.1:29).

Including home matches between the teams, Nava won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 146:156. (average 29.2:31.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Nava
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
31.05.26	Atlético Valladolid - Nava	36:35 ✺
22.05.26	Nava - EÓN Alicante	34:32 ✺
09.05.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Nava	28:25 ✺
02.05.26	Nava - Torrelavega	33:38 ✺
26.04.26	Quabit Guadalajara - Nava	26:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW
- BM Ciudad Encantada
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
31.05.26	BM Ciudad Encantada - Bidasoa Irun	30:36 ✺
22.05.26	Quabit Guadalajara - BM Ciudad Encantada	33:34 ✺
08.05.26	BM Granollers - BM Ciudad Encantada	31:30 ✺
25.04.26	Morrazo Cangas - BM Ciudad Encantada	28:24 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
22.04.26	BM Ciudad Encantada - Naturhouse La Rioja	31:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
05.04.26	BM Ciudad Encantada - Nava	33:32
08.11.25	Nava - BM Ciudad Encantada	33:32
04.05.25	BM Ciudad Encantada - Nava	24:25
07.12.24	Nava - BM Ciudad Encantada	28:32
18.05.24	Nava - BM Ciudad Encantada	35:32
09.12.23	BM Ciudad Encantada - Nava	27:27
20.04.22	Nava - BM Ciudad Encantada	24:31

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