Match Info

Proligue - Round 11

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Pau Billère		Caen

	1	X	2
	2.04	8.6	2.03
	1.53	7.50	3.01	Watch
	1.98	9.3	2.08	Watch
	2.12	8.4	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.01)	8.45 ↑ (8.43)	2.29 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau Billère
48.4%

Draw
11%

Caen
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

11.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

11.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau Billère has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau Billère than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Pau Billère - Caen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau Billère won 2.

Pau Billère has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pau Billère won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 307:297. (average 30.7:29.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pau Billère won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 151:141. (average 30.2:28.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau Billère Handball
French Proligue Handball
14.11.25	Pau Billère - Saintes	36:29 ✺
07.11.25	Massy Essonne - Pau Billère	28:29 ✺
24.10.25	Pau Billère - Angers	33:36 ✺
10.10.25	Pau Billère - Ivry	27:31 ✺
04.10.25	Sarrebourg - Pau Billère	26:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLT
- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
14.11.25	Caen - Frontignan Thau	39:37 ✺
07.11.25	Angers - Caen	32:36 ✺
24.10.25	Caen - Sarrebourg	42:35 ✺
17.10.25	Ivry - Caen	35:27 ✺
09.10.25	Caen - Valence	37:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
23.05.25	Pau Billère - Caen	28:29
20.05.25	Caen - Pau Billère	28:26
08.04.25	Caen - Pau Billère	31:39
01.11.24	Pau Billère - Caen	30:25
09.04.24	Caen - Pau Billère	35:32
08.12.23	Pau Billère - Caen	35:33
11.04.23	Caen - Pau Billère	28:31

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