Match Info

European League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Pavilhão Dragão Arena (Porto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay


	Porto		Montpellier HB

	1	X	2
	2.25	8	1.9
	2.4	8	1.85
	2.26	7.8	1.89	Watch
	2.26	8.07	1.91
	2.2	7.5	1.91
	2.35	7.9	1.91
	2.26	7.8	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.36)	7.87 ↓ (7.88)	1.89 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
40.1%

Draw
11.6%

Montpellier HB
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

11.6%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

11.2%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Montpellier HB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Porto - Montpellier HB Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Lineups


12. Abrahamsson S.	27. Aho S.
86. Brandao R.	12. Bolzinger C.
19. Diocou M.	11. Cikusa Jelicic D.
21. Fernandes L.	92. Desbonnet R.
8. Fernandez D.	17. Fernandez J.
28. Ferreira J.	3. Gautason D.
5. Gunnarsson T.	15. Hesham A.
4. Iturriza V.	2. Karlsson S.
88. Magalhaes F.	22. Konan K.
24. Martinez A.	19. Lenne A.
10. Oliveira D.	26. Monte B.
71. Oliveira P.	93. Nacinovic V.
33. Rema D.	28. Porte V.
15. Salina D.	4. Simonet D.
14. Sousa R.	20. Skube S.
2. Veitia P.	52. Soutoul J.

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto won 1.

Recent matches Porto is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montpellier in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Porto have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Porto won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 155:173 (average 25.8:28.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 77:81 (average 25.7:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto Handball
Taca de Portugal Handball
18.04.25	Marítimo - Porto	27:31 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
12.04.25	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	32:35 ✺
06.04.25	Benfica - Porto	29:30 ✺
EHF European League
01.04.25	Fenix Toulouse - Porto	30:28 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
28.03.25	Marítimo - Porto	29:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW
- Montpellier HB
French Starligue Handball
18.04.25	Chambery SH - Montpellier HB	25:36 ✺
11.04.25	Montpellier HB - Creteil	38:26 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
08.04.25	Limoges - Montpellier HB	25:31 ✺
French Starligue Handball
04.04.25	Saint-Raphael - Montpellier HB	28:30 ✺
28.03.25	Montpellier HB - Tremblay	29:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
23.11.23	Porto - Montpellier HB	25:29
15.11.23	Montpellier HB - Porto	35:24
06.04.22	Montpellier HB - Porto	35:27
31.03.22	Porto - Montpellier HB	29:29
23.11.19	Montpellier HB - Porto	22:27
02.11.19	Porto - Montpellier HB	23:23

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