Match Info

EHF Euro

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Jyske Bank Boxen (Herning)

Referee: Sok D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Hungary	M4 Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	RTP 1
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay


	Portugal		Norway

	1	X	2
	1.9	8.5	2.35	Watch
	1.89	7.8	2.26
	2.01	7.24	2.34	Watch
	1.91	8	2.38
	1.92	8.7	2.2	Watch
	1.9	8.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.94)	8.12 ↓ (8.42)	2.32 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal
48.4%

Draw
11.5%

Norway
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

11%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

10.9%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Norway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norway than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	8.3%	33.3%

Portugal - Norway Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Norway will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Norway (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 65.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Norway (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.27) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 66.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 63.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Norway (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

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Lineups


25. Areia A.	3. Aga V.
86. Brandao R.	35. Anderson P.
23. Branquinho D.	71. Blonz A.
41. Capdeville G.	29. Fredriksen M.
95. Cavalcanti G.	22. Grondahl T.
26. Costa F.	44. Gulliksen K.
79. Costa M.	1. Haug R.
21. Fernandes L.	25. Hovde M.
82. Frade L.	31. Lien K.
66. Gomes J.	43. Lyse S.
9. Graca F.	40. Pedersen A.
8. Iturriza V.	10. Ronningen V.
20. Neves M.	5. Sagosen S.
13. Rocha S.	45. Schonningsen S.
14. Sousa R.	30. Sittrup-Bergerud T.
99. Valerio D.	32. Solstad T.
Coaches
. Pereira P.	. Wille J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 180:193. (average 30:32.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal handball
Handball European Championship
24.01.26	France - Portugal	46:38 ✺
22.01.26	Germany - Portugal	32:30 ✺
20.01.26	Denmark - Portugal	29:31 ✺
18.01.26	North Macedonia - Portugal	29:29 ✺
16.01.26	Portugal - Romania	40:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.2 LLWTW
- Norway handball
Handball European Championship
24.01.26	Germany - Norway	30:28 ✺
22.01.26	Spain - Norway	34:35 ✺
19.01.26	France - Norway	38:34 ✺
17.01.26	Czech Republic - Norway	25:29 ✺
15.01.26	Norway - Ukraine	39:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Handball World Championship
19.01.25	Norway - Portugal	28:31
Olympic Games - Handball
14.03.24	Norway - Portugal	32:29
Handball European Championship
17.01.24	Norway - Portugal	32:37
Friendly International Handball
05.01.23	Norway - Portugal	38:27
Handball World Championship
20.01.21	Portugal - Norway	28:29
Handball European Championship
14.01.20	Portugal - Norway	28:34

Portugal - Norway: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide