Match Info

EUROPE: European Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 4

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Pavilhão Multiusos de Odivelas (Odivelas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Eurosport 1


	Portugal		Poland

	1	X	2
	1.35	10	4.25	Watch
	1.3	11.5	4.1
	1.27	11	4.6	Watch
	1.32	10.15	4.68	Watch
	1.25	11	4.6
	1.31	9.7	4.55
	1.27	11	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)	10.62 ↑ (10)	4.48 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal
70.9%

Draw
8.6%

Poland
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

9.2%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

8.4%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portugal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poland than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Portugal - Poland Predictions

Users Predictions: Portugal will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:29

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Lineups


25. Areia A.	42. Bedzikowski J.
86. Brandao R.	8. Bis B.
23. Branquinho D.	44. Czaplinski M.
41. Capdeville G.	28. Gebala M.
95. Cavalcanti G.	24. Jankowski W.
5. Duarte G.	75. Jastrzebski M.
21. Fernandes L.	4. Jedraszczyk P.
82. Frade L.	77. Ligarzewski K.
30. Franca Silva F.	26. Marciniak M.
66. Gomes J.	87. Michalowicz F.
55. Nazare J.	5. Olejniczak M.
4. Portela P.	35. Paterek P.
15. Salina D.	12. Pietrasik A.
65. Sousa A.	2. Przytula D.
14. Sousa R.	11. Sroczyk M.
99. Valerio D.	17. Widomski A.

Preview

Recent matches Portugal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Poland is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Portugal is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Portugal won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 97:90 (average 32.3:30).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal handball
Handball European Championship
13.03.25	Poland - Portugal	36:36 ✺
Handball World Championship
02.02.25	France - Portugal	35:34 ✺
31.01.25	Denmark - Portugal	40:27 ✺
29.01.25	Portugal - Germany	31:30 OT ✺
26.01.25	Portugal - Chile	46:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWW
- Poland handball
Handball European Championship
13.03.25	Poland - Portugal	36:36 ✺
Handball World Championship
28.01.25	Poland - USA	24:22 penalties ✺
25.01.25	Guinea - Poland	28:40 ✺
23.01.25	Poland - Kuwait	42:32 ✺
21.01.25	Poland - Algeria	38:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Handball European Championship
13.03.25	Poland - Portugal	36:36
Friendly International Handball
05.01.20	Poland - Portugal	27:34
Handball World Championship
14.01.18	Portugal - Poland	27:27

Portugal - Poland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide