Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 11 April 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sporting Lisbon		Montpellier HB

	1	X	2
	3.4	8.5	1.42	Watch
	3.7	11	1.4
	3.55	8	1.47
	3.5	9	1.4
	3.7	9	1.44
	3.7	9.6	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3)	9.18 ↑ (9)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
25.5%

Draw
10%

Montpellier HB
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

10.2%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

10%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon's form might have worsened.

Montpellier HB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier HB's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sporting Lisbon - Montpellier HB Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:31

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Preview

1st leg.

Sporting is Qualified for European League (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Montpellier is Qualified for European League (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Montpellier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Montpellier is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Montpellier to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sporting won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 119-132.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 56-63.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Taca de Portugal Handball
08.04.23	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	30:34 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
01.04.23	Académico de Viseu - Sporting Lisbon	30:40 ✺
EHF European League
28.03.23	Sporting Lisbon - Bidasoa Irun	34:28 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
25.03.23	Sporting Lisbon - Avanca	32:28 ✺
EHF European League
21.03.23	Bidasoa Irun - Sporting Lisbon	30:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Montpellier HB
French Starligue Handball
08.04.23	HBC Nantes - Montpellier HB	29:28 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
04.04.23	Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain	33:20 ✺
French Starligue Handball
31.03.23	Montpellier HB - Ivry	26:23 ✺
EHF European League
28.03.23	Montpellier HB - Ferencváros	43:29 ✺
French Starligue Handball
24.03.23	Dunkerque - Montpellier HB	28:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
04.11.17	Montpellier HB - Sporting Lisbon	33:32
15.10.17	Sporting Lisbon - Montpellier HB	29:33
EHF European League
29.03.14	Montpellier HB - Sporting Lisbon	36:31
15.02.14	Sporting Lisbon - Montpellier HB	27:30

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