Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Pavilhão João Rocha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Sporting TV
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Sporting Lisbon		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	1.52	9	3.4	Watch
	1.5	9.6	3
	1.49	8.62	3.61
	1.5	8.5	3
	1.57	9.9	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	9.12 ↓ (9.6)	3.26 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
61.3%

Draw
10.2%

Wisła Płock
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

9.7%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

10.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sporting Lisbon - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Lineups


5. Alvarez C.	32. Alilovic M.
92. Aly M.	3. Daszek M.
3. Berlin E.	33. Dawydzik D.
22. Branquinho D.	24. Fazekas G.
6. Costa F.	43. Ilic Z.
79. Costa M.	8. Janc M.
19. Gassama M.	99. Kosorotov S.
26. Graca F.	26. Krajewski P.
8. Gurri J.	34. Mihic L.
20. Kristensen A.	22. Richardson M.
9. Martinez P.	21. Samoila K.
44. Moga C.	17. Serdio A.
2. Oliviera E.	1. Sittrup-Bergerud T.
13. Rocha S.	19. Susnja L.
93. Romero V.	9. Szyszko J.
17. Thorkelsson O.	23. Zarabec M.

Preview

First leg.

Sporting is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wisła Płock is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Sporting has had a series of away games.

Sporting might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 116:112. (average 29:28).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 59:58. (average 29.5:29).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
28.03.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	30:33 ✺
EHF Champions League
12.03.26	Sporting Lisbon - Dinamo Bucureşti	30:29 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
08.03.26	Colegio de Gaia - Sporting Lisbon	29:41 ✺
07.03.26	Águas Santas - Sporting Lisbon	30:36 ✺
EHF Champions League
04.03.26	Vive Kielce - Sporting Lisbon	39:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWWL
- Wisła Płock Handball
Polish Superliga Handball
27.03.26	Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock	16:34 ✺
14.03.26	Wisła Płock - Legionowo	34:18 ✺
EHF Champions League
11.03.26	Wisła Płock - Szeged	30:30 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
06.03.26	Puławy - Wisła Płock	23:41 ✺
EHF Champions League
04.03.26	PPD Zagreb - Wisła Płock	26:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
06.03.25	Wisła Płock - Sporting Lisbon	29:29
11.09.24	Sporting Lisbon - Wisła Płock	34:29
EHF European League
30.03.21	Wisła Płock - Sporting Lisbon	25:28
23.03.21	Sporting Lisbon - Wisła Płock	25:29

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