Match Info

1. Division - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Tønder		Lemvig-Thyborøn

	1	X	2
	1.55	9.2	2.9
	1.46	7.83	3.5	Watch
	1.5	8.5	3
	1.53	9.7	3.04
	1.48	9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	8.85 ↑ (8.5)	3.11 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tønder
60.5%

Draw
10.3%

Lemvig-Thyborøn
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

10.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

10%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tønder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Lemvig-Thyborøn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tønder than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lemvig-Thyborøn than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Tønder - Lemvig Thyborøn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lemvig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tønder could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tønder won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 94:81. (average 31.3:27).

Including home match between the teams, Tønder won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TM Tønder Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
30.11.25	Tønder - Midtjylland	32:29 ✺
25.11.25	Tønder - Sydhavsøerne	33:37 ✺
21.11.25	Norddjurs - Tønder	29:34 ✺
16.11.25	Tønder - Aarhus	27:26 ✺
07.11.25	Skive FH - Tønder	30:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL
- Lemvig-Thyborøn Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
28.11.25	Rækker Mølle - Lemvig-Thyborøn	32:26 ✺
22.11.25	Lemvig-Thyborøn - TIK Taastrup	35:34 ✺
14.11.25	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Midtjylland	32:23 ✺
08.11.25	Norddjurs - Lemvig-Thyborøn	27:32 ✺
24.10.25	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Aarhus	29:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
31.08.25	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Tønder	25:33
23.02.25	Tønder - Lemvig-Thyborøn	36:31
19.10.24	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Tønder	25:25

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