Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	TBV Lemgo		MT Melsungen

	1	X	2
	1.7	8	2.9
	1.47	9.2	3.2
	1.52	7.82	3.27	Watch
	1.5	8	3
	1.6	9.1	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 (1.56)	8.42 ↓ (9.13)	3.05 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TBV Lemgo
59%

Draw
10.9%

MT Melsungen
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

10%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

10%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TBV Lemgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

MT Melsungen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TBV Lemgo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

TBV Lemgo - MT Melsungen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lemgo won 0.

Lemgo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Melsungen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Melsungen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lemgo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lemgo won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 512:540. (average 25.6:27).

Including home matches between the teams, Lemgo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 266:273. (average 26.6:27.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	MT Melsungen	7	4	1	2	218:195	9
8	Lemgo	7	4	0	3	216:220	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TBV Lemgo
German Bundesliga Handball
29.03.26	Stuttgart - TBV Lemgo	32:32 ✺
15.03.26	TBV Lemgo - Frisch Auf Göppingen	27:30 ✺
05.03.26	Gummersbach - TBV Lemgo	28:27 ✺
26.02.26	TBV Lemgo - HSV Hamburg	39:32 ✺
20.02.26	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - TBV Lemgo	32:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLWL
- MT Melsungen
EHF European League
31.03.26	Fredericia - MT Melsungen	35:29 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
27.03.26	MT Melsungen - THW Kiel	30:29 ✺
13.03.26	MT Melsungen - Gummersbach	24:31 ✺
EHF European League
10.03.26	MT Melsungen - Vardar	25:34 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
08.03.26	HSG Wetzlar - MT Melsungen	32:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
25.10.25	MT Melsungen - TBV Lemgo	28:22
04.06.25	MT Melsungen - TBV Lemgo	26:26
05.09.24	TBV Lemgo - MT Melsungen	20:28
22.03.24	MT Melsungen - TBV Lemgo	26:25
24.09.23	TBV Lemgo - MT Melsungen	25:28
26.12.22	MT Melsungen - TBV Lemgo	20:19
10.09.22	TBV Lemgo - MT Melsungen	28:28

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