Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Eurosport 2
Romania	Prima Sport 3


	Paris Saint-Germain		THW Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.55	9	3.3	Watch
	1.42	11	3.7
	1.48	9.61	3.33	Watch
	1.4	8.5	3.25
	1.5	8.7	3.4	Watch
	1.5	9	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.43)	9.3 ↑ (9)	3.41 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
62.8%

Draw
10%

THW Kiel
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

10.2%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

10.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

THW Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	5.6%	11.1%

Paris Saint Germain - THW Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:31

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris won 3.

Paris in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Kiel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kiel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Paris have a series of home games.

In this match Paris is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Paris to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Paris won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 491-458.

Including matches at home between the teams Paris won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 258-224.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain Handball
French Starligue Handball
22.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Saran Loiret	46:31 ✺
EHF Champions League
18.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Aalborg	33:30 ✺
French Starligue Handball
15.10.23	Chartres - Paris Saint-Germain	27:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
12.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Eurofarm Pelister	31:26 ✺
French Starligue Handball
08.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - HBC Nantes	35:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
22.10.23	THW Kiel - TBV Lemgo	33:29 ✺
EHF Champions League
19.10.23	Kolstad - THW Kiel	34:30 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
14.10.23	SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel	35:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
11.10.23	THW Kiel - Vive Kielce	35:31 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
08.10.23	THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg	34:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
17.05.23	Paris Saint-Germain - THW Kiel	32:29
10.05.23	THW Kiel - Paris Saint-Germain	27:31
19.05.22	THW Kiel - Paris Saint-Germain	33:32
11.05.22	Paris Saint-Germain - THW Kiel	30:30
19.05.21	Paris Saint-Germain - THW Kiel	34:28
12.05.21	THW Kiel - Paris Saint-Germain	31:29
Club Friendly Hanbdall
14.08.19	THW Kiel - Paris Saint-Germain	34:30

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