Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	THW Kiel		Bergischer

	1	X	2
	1.03	22	20
	1.02	20	15
				Watch
	1.05	19.5	11.5
	1.03	26	20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 (1.03)	21.88 ↓ (22)	16.63 ↓ (20)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

THW Kiel
90.1%

Draw
4.3%

Bergischer
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91%

4.3%

4.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bergischer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

THW Kiel - Bergischer Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:28

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Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiel won 5.

Kiel has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bergischer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Kiel is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kiel won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 593:477. (average 29.7:23.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiel won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 291:226. (average 32.3:25.1).

Last Results with these Odds

THW Kiel - the odds 1.03 are the expected chance of winning is 91.05%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- THW Kiel
German DHB Pokal
05.11.25	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - THW Kiel	36:41 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
23.10.25	Gummersbach - THW Kiel	25:25 ✺
EHF European League
21.10.25	THW Kiel - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	34:21 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
18.10.25	THW Kiel - MT Melsungen	31:29 ✺
EHF European League
14.10.25	Montpellier HB - THW Kiel	28:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWWW
- Bergischer HC 06
German DHB Pokal
05.11.25	Bergischer - Hannover-Burgdorf	40:38 OT ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
25.10.25	Bergischer - SC DHfK Leipzig	28:28 ✺
17.10.25	Frisch Auf Göppingen - Bergischer	26:21 ✺
12.10.25	Magdeburg - Bergischer	39:30 ✺
09.10.25	Bergischer - HSG Wetzlar	35:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
11.02.24	Bergischer - THW Kiel	25:29
03.12.23	THW Kiel - Bergischer	39:30
04.06.23	Bergischer - THW Kiel	25:29
11.09.22	THW Kiel - Bergischer	35:29
13.02.22	Bergischer - THW Kiel	24:26
11.11.21	THW Kiel - Bergischer	24:23
15.04.21	THW Kiel - Bergischer	33:30

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