Match Info

Date: 27 October 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Vardar		THW Kiel

	1	X	2
	3.4	8.5	1.52	Watch
	3.3	10	1.5
	3.8	9	1.43	Watch
	3.25	9.6	1.49
	3.4	10	1.5
	3.4	9.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (4.4)	9.45 ↑ (9.25)	1.49 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vardar
27.3%

Draw
9.9%

THW Kiel
62.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.2%

10.1%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

9.6%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vardar's performance.

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and THW Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Vardar - THW Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vardar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:32

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vardar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kiel is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vardar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 130-155.

Including matches at home between the teams Vardar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 78-93.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Vardar Skopje
EHF Champions League
20.10.21	Aalborg - Vardar	33:29 ✺
13.10.21	Vardar - Montpellier HB	25:31 ✺
29.09.21	Vardar - Aalborg	30:28 ✺
22.09.21	Vardar - Meshkov Brest	35:27 ✺
15.09.21	Elverum - Vardar	27:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWT
- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
24.10.21	THW Kiel - Magdeburg	27:29 ✺
EHF Champions League
20.10.21	THW Kiel - Szeged	32:32 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
17.10.21	TBV Lemgo - THW Kiel	21:21 ✺
EHF Champions League
13.10.21	THW Kiel - PPD Zagreb	36:28 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
10.10.21	Füchse Berlin - THW Kiel	28:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
05.02.20	THW Kiel - Vardar	34:23
12.10.19	Vardar - THW Kiel	20:31
Club World Championship Handball
29.08.19	Vardar - THW Kiel	30:34
EHF Champions League
29.04.18	Vardar - THW Kiel	28:28
22.04.18	THW Kiel - Vardar	28:29

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
31.10.26	THW Kiel - Stuttgart	✺

Vardar - THW Kiel