Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 14

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Villa de Aranda		Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	1.75	8	2.8	Watch
	1.74	8.2	2.48
	1.81	7.2	2.5
	1.73	8	2.38
	1.78	8.8	2.46	Watch
	1.76	9	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.61)	8.2 ↓ (8.85)	2.53 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa de Aranda
52.3%

Draw
11.2%

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

10.4%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

10.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa de Aranda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa de Aranda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Villa de Aranda - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Villa de Aranda will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa de Aranda won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Villa de Aranda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villa de Aranda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Villa de Aranda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 332:348. (average 25.5:26.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa de Aranda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 188:186. (average 26.9:26.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
13.12.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Villa de Aranda	22:19 ✺
10.12.25	Villa de Aranda - Barcelona	28:34 ✺
06.12.25	Villa de Aranda - Bidasoa Irun	32:36 ✺
29.11.25	BM Granollers - Villa de Aranda	28:22 ✺
22.11.25	Villa de Aranda - Morrazo Cangas	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
13.12.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Atlético Valladolid	25:30 ✺
05.12.25	EÓN Alicante - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	39:35 ✺
30.11.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Naturhouse La Rioja	39:42 ✺
23.11.25	Torrelavega - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	32:27 ✺
15.11.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Quabit Guadalajara	33:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
03.05.25	Villa de Aranda - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	28:25
07.12.24	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Villa de Aranda	31:28
03.02.21	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Villa de Aranda	28:21
25.11.20	Villa de Aranda - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	26:28
Club Friendly Hanbdall
22.08.17	Villa de Aranda - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	16:26
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.02.17	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Villa de Aranda	29:25
18.09.16	Villa de Aranda - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	23:22

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