Match Info

Date: 30 May 2021, Sunday


	Ystads IF		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	9.5	1.55
	3.25	8.5	1.52	Watch
	2.95	10	1.44
	3.1	10	1.5
	3.48	9.1	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (4.2)	9.42 ↓ (9.7)	1.49 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ystads IF
29.1%

Draw
9.7%

AEK Athens
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

9.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

9.1%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ystads IF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ystads IF's performance.

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ystads IF than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ystads IF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ystads IF - AEK Athens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 26-30.

Ystads IF is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AEK in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AEK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently AEK have a series of home games.

In this match AEK is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's AEK to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ystads IF won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ystads IF HF
EHF European Cup
28.05.21	AEK Athens - Ystads IF	30:26 ✺
24.04.21	Ystads IF - Anorthosis	26:22 ✺
17.04.21	Anorthosis - Ystads IF	26:24 ✺
Swedish Elitserien Handball
03.04.21	Lugi - Ystads IF	30:27 ✺
31.03.21	Ystads IF - Lugi	23:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- AEK Athens HC
EHF European Cup
28.05.21	AEK Athens - Ystads IF	30:26 ✺
Greek Cup Handball
23.05.21	AEK Athens - PAOK	24:22 ✺
22.05.21	AEK Athens - Diomidis Argous	34:25 ✺
EHF European Cup
24.04.21	Gorenje Velenje - AEK Athens	31:31 ✺
17.04.21	AEK Athens - Gorenje Velenje	31:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European Cup
28.05.21	AEK Athens - Ystads IF	30:26

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