Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Ässät U20		Ilves U20

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.5	2.75
	2.34	4.17	2.28
	2.01	4.53	2.71	Watch
	2.3	4.1	2.25
	2.27	4.1	2.36
	2.08	4.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.65)	4.25 ↓ (4.5)	2.48 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ässät U20
42.3%

Draw
21.2%

Ilves U20
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

20.4%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

21.8%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ässät U20's performance.

Ilves U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilves U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ässät U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilves U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ässät U20 - Ilves U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, Ilves U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Ässät U20 in today's match, at odds of 2.62.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ässät U20 has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 77:62 (averaging 3.9:3.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ässät U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 33:19 goals (averaging 3.7:2.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Ilves U20	10	4	1	1	4	36:43	15
14	Assat U20	12	1	4	1	6	32:39	12

Last Results with these Odds

Ässät U20 - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
26.09.26	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	2:1 penalties ✺
20.09.26	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	4:3 penalties ✺
19.09.26	KooKoo U20 - Ässät U20	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ässät U20 - HPK U20	3:2 penalties ✺
09.09.26	Ilves U20 - Ässät U20	5:6 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWW
- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
26.09.26	Ilves U20 - JYP U20	2:6 ✺
20.09.26	Ilves U20 - Tappara U20	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Ilves U20 - TPS U20	6:5 penalties ✺
12.09.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ilves U20	6:9 ✺
09.09.26	Ilves U20 - Ässät U20	5:6 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
09.09.26	Ilves U20 - Ässät U20	5:6 penalties
31.01.26	Ässät U20 - Ilves U20	3:5
21.11.25	Ilves U20 - Ässät U20	7:1
10.01.25	Ässät U20 - Ilves U20	4:0
08.12.24	Ässät U20 - Ilves U20	3:4 OT
30.11.24	Ilves U20 - Ässät U20	7:4
12.10.24	Ilves U20 - Ässät U20	3:6

Upcoming Matches