Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Ilves U20		JYP U20

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.50	3.30
	1.75	4.25	3.34
	1.81	4.64	3.13	Watch
	1.73	4.20	3.30
	1.71	4.45	3.48
	1.67	4.40	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.69)	4.41 ↑ (4.26)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves U20
52.5%

Draw
20.4%

JYP U20
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

20.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

22.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

JYP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP U20 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Ilves U20 - JYP U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
14:00, 1 - 0, Melanen J. (G), Poikela M. (A), Kuukasjarvi R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
09:19, 1 - 1, Immonen T. (G), Ilvonen E. (A), Keltikangas O. (A2)
10:41, 1 - 2, Immonen T. (G), Pettinen O. (A),
15:28, 2 - 2, Poikela M. (G), Melanen J. (A), Liljeberg M. (A2)
19:23, 2 - 3, Tiilikainen J. (G), Ervasti A. (A), Immonen T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
03:47, 2 - 4, Keltikangas O. (G), Koivu N. (A),
08:37, 2 - 5, Immonen T. (G), Vilander V. (A), Keltikangas O. (A2)
16:03, 2 - 6, Raisanen E. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 3.

In recent outings, Ilves U20 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

JYP U20 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, JYP U20 has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Ilves U20 is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ilves U20 has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:72 (averaging 2.3:3.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 23:38 goals (averaging 2.3:3.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Ilves U20	10	4	1	1	4	36:43	15
13	Jyvaskyla U20	9	3	1	1	4	27:31	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.09.26	Ilves U20 - Tappara U20	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Ilves U20 - TPS U20	6:5 penalties ✺
12.09.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ilves U20	6:9 ✺
09.09.26	Ilves U20 - Ässät U20	5:6 penalties ✺
04.09.26	HPK U20 - Ilves U20	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL
- JYP U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.09.26	Lukko U20 - JYP U20	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Tappara U20 - JYP U20	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pelicans U20 - JYP U20	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	SaiPa U20 - JYP U20	6:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	8:7 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
06.03.26	Ilves U20 - JYP U20	4:2
15.11.25	Ilves U20 - JYP U20	3:0
24.10.25	JYP U20 - Ilves U20	4:3
04.10.25	JYP U20 - Ilves U20	2:1
24.10.24	Ilves U20 - JYP U20	3:2 penalties
22.09.24	JYP U20 - Ilves U20	2:1
01.12.23	JYP U20 - Ilves U20	5:3

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