The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilves U20 49.8%
Draw 20.2%
Tappara U20 30%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50%
20.7%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
22%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Tappara U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Ilves U20 - Tappara U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:58, 0 - 1, Louvanto L. (G), Stromberg B. (A), Vaarala V. (A2)
18:00, 1 - 1, Viita F. (G), Poikela M. (A), Pesu V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:12, 1 - 2, Vahvaselka L. (G), Holmberg J. (A), Huhtamaa J. (A2)
09:10, 2 - 2, Savolainen N. (G), Petaja K. (A), Rinne R. (A2)
16:53, 2 - 3, Piiparinen J. (G), Seppala J. (A), Stromberg B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
06:19, 2 - 4, Stromberg B. (G), Seppala J. (A), Piiparinen J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Tappara U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tappara U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ilves U20 has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:78 (averaging 2.9:3.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 26:32 goals (averaging 2.6:3.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Tappara U20
16
8
0
2
6
47:54
26
14
Ilves U20
15
6
1
1
7
53:60
21
Last Results with these Odds
Ilves U20 - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.01%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.