Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Ässät U20		Jokerit U20

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.4	2.65
	1.85	4.02	3.15
	1.84	4.25	3.25	Watch
	1.8	4	3.1
	1.83	4.1	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	4.15 ↓ (4.25)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ässät U20
49.2%

Draw
21.6%

Jokerit U20
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

21.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

26.9%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Jokerit U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ässät U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit U20 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jokerit U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ässät U20 - Jokerit U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:30, 0 - 1, Mand J. (G), Inkinen J. (A), Kangasniemi T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:52, 0 - 2, Aarvala T. (G), Mand J. (A), Rasanen V. (A2)
06:55, 1 - 2, Poikkeus T. (G), Paloluoma V. (A), Soikkeli V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:39, 2 - 2, Kamarainen R. (G), Ylitalo O. (A), Kim A. (A2)
16:15, 3 - 2, Eskola L. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Jokerit U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jokerit U20 has had a series of away games.

Ässät U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 55:57. (average 2.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ässät U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 3:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Jokerit U20	11	6	1	2	2	47:26	22
14	Assat U20	12	1	4	1	6	32:39	12

Last Results with these Odds

Jokerit U20 - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.32%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.02.26	Ässät U20 - Pelicans U20	2:1 OT ✺
20.02.26	Tappara U20 - Ässät U20	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Ässät U20 - KooKoo U20	4:2 ✺
11.02.26	Lukko U20 - Ässät U20	5:4 ✺
31.01.26	Ässät U20 - Ilves U20	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL
- Jokerit U20 hockey
Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.02.26	Jokerit U20 - HPK U20	4:3 penalties ✺
20.02.26	HIFK U20 - Jokerit U20	6:2 ✺
14.02.26	Kärpät U20 - Jokerit U20	5:3 ✺
13.02.26	RoKi U20 - Jokerit U20	2:10 ✺
30.01.26	Tappara U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
16.01.26	Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20	3:2
22.11.25	Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20	1:3
24.10.25	Ässät U20 - Jokerit U20	2:0
01.03.25	Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20	3:2
16.11.24	Ässät U20 - Jokerit U20	3:5
07.01.24	Ässät U20 - Jokerit U20	3:1
06.10.23	Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20	1:2 OT

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