Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Ässät U20		Pelicans U20

	1	X	2
	2.2	4.03	2.59	Watch
	2.15	3.9	2.5
	2.19	3.88	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)	3.94 ↓ (4.03)	2.54 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ässät U20
41.5%

Draw
23%

Pelicans U20
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

22.8%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

25.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pelicans U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ässät U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans U20 than the current prediction. (-4%)

Ässät U20 - Pelicans U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:32, 0 - 1, Koskinen L. (G), Paqvalin A. (A), Paqvalin J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
13:31, 1 - 1, Aijala E. (G), Kamarainen R. (A), Tikkanen T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:40, 2 - 1, Aijala E. (G), Eskola P. (A),

Preview

Pelicans U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 1.

Ässät U20 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pelicans U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ässät U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pelicans U20 has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 52:61. (average 2.6:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ässät U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2.5:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Pelicans Lahti U20	10	7	0	0	3	37:26	21
14	Assat U20	12	1	4	1	6	32:39	12

Last Results with these Odds

Ässät U20 - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.02.26	Tappara U20 - Ässät U20	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Ässät U20 - KooKoo U20	4:2 ✺
11.02.26	Lukko U20 - Ässät U20	5:4 ✺
31.01.26	Ässät U20 - Ilves U20	3:5 ✺
30.01.26	Ässät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- Pelicans U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
19.02.26	KalPa U20 - Pelicans U20	2:5 ✺
14.02.26	Tappara U20 - Pelicans U20	3:4 penalties ✺
13.02.26	HPK U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	RoKi U20 - Pelicans U20	3:5 ✺
30.01.26	Kärpät U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
10.10.25	Pelicans U20 - Ässät U20	4:2
14.02.25	Pelicans U20 - Ässät U20	5:3
26.01.25	Ässät U20 - Pelicans U20	4:5
01.12.23	Ässät U20 - Pelicans U20	3:7
20.10.23	Pelicans U20 - Ässät U20	3:5
07.01.23	Ässät U20 - Pelicans U20	6:3
09.12.22	Pelicans U20 - Ässät U20	3:2

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