Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Jokerit U20		HPK U20

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.4	2.25
	2.35	4.07	2.4	Watch
	2.25	3.9	2.38
	2.31	3.88	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.35)	4.06 ↓ (4.07)	2.36 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jokerit U20
40%

Draw
22%

HPK U20
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

22.6%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

24.3%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jokerit U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

HPK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit U20 than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Jokerit U20 - HPK U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
05:58, 0 - 1, Kaikkonen T. (G), Huttunen R. (A), Ketonen A. (A2)
09:47, 1 - 1, Rasanen V. (G), Kallio B. (A), Kouhia L. (A2)
13:08, 1 - 2, Kopiloff O. (G), Loponen M. (A), Ketonen A. (A2)
16:40, 2 - 2, Inkinen J. (G), Aarvala T. (A), Kilpelainen A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:46, 3 - 2, Rasanen V. (G), Ukkonen E. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:43, 3 - 3, Kopiloff O. (G), Loponen M. (A), Lehtonen O. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Kopiloff O. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kallio B. (Penalty Shot),
2, Fagerstrom V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Rasanen V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Loponen M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Stromberg B. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kapanen K. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kossila T. (Penalty Shot),
5, Pulli T. (Penalty Shot),
5, Aarvala T. (Penalty Shot),
6, Kossila T. (Penalty Shot),
6, Kapanen K. (Penalty Shot),
7, Kallio B. (Penalty Shot),
7, Kaikkonen T. (Penalty Shot),
8, Rasanen V. (Penalty Shot),
8, Kopiloff O. (Penalty Shot),
9, Tainio R. (Penalty Shot),
9, Lehtonen O. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jokerit U20 won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Jokerit U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jokerit U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 60:67. (average 3:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jokerit U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:39. (average 2.8:3.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Hameenlinna U20	10	7	0	2	1	46:22	23
4	Jokerit U20	11	6	1	2	2	47:26	22

Last Results with these Odds

HPK U20 - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.3%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit U20 hockey
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.02.26	HIFK U20 - Jokerit U20	6:2 ✺
14.02.26	Kärpät U20 - Jokerit U20	5:3 ✺
13.02.26	RoKi U20 - Jokerit U20	2:10 ✺
30.01.26	Tappara U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 OT ✺
24.01.26	Jokerit U20 - HIFK U20	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL
- HPK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.02.26	HPK U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:4 ✺
14.02.26	HPK U20 - Lukko U20	2:4 ✺
13.02.26	HPK U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	JYP U20 - HPK U20	1:5 ✺
30.01.26	HIFK U20 - HPK U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.12.25	HPK U20 - Jokerit U20	5:6
21.02.25	Jokerit U20 - HPK U20	6:2
12.10.24	HPK U20 - Jokerit U20	2:3 penalties
25.11.23	Jokerit U20 - HPK U20	1:3
17.11.23	HPK U20 - Jokerit U20	4:1
22.10.22	HPK U20 - Jokerit U20	1:3
16.03.22	HPK U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 penalties

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