Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Tappara U20		Jokerit U20

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.1	2.8
	1.76	3.82	3.23
	1.8	4.16	3.44	Watch
	1.75	4	3.25
	1.78	4.15	3.4
	1.86	4.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.8)	4.08 ↓ (4.16)	3.16 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tappara U20
49.9%

Draw
21.9%

Jokerit U20
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

22.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

24%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tappara U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Jokerit U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Tappara U20 - Jokerit U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
16:19, 0 - 1, Virtanen A. (G), Torkki M. (A), Ukkonen E. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:35, 1 - 1, Lehtosaari R. (G), Piiparinen J. (A), Selin K. (A2)
09:33, 2 - 1, Rantala J. (G), Louvanto L. (A),
12:25, 3 - 1, Wehmas E. (G), Rajala J. (A), Mikkonen D. (A2)
18:33, 3 - 2, Kangasniemi T. (G), Kaarna M. (A), Virtanen A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:54, 3 - 3, Kossila T. (G), Aarvala T. (A), Mand J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:29, 3 - 4, Mand J. (G), Kangasniemi T. (A), Aarvala T. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tappara U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Tappara U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 66:68. (average 3.3:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tappara U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:32. (average 3.6:3.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Jokerit U20	11	6	1	2	2	47:26	22
8	Tappara U20	11	6	0	2	3	34:32	20

Last Results with these Odds

Tappara U20 - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.13%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tappara U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.01.26	Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20	6:1 ✺
17.01.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Tappara U20	1:5 ✺
16.01.26	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	1:6 ✺
10.01.26	Tappara U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:4 ✺
09.01.26	Tappara U20 - KooKoo U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLL
- Jokerit U20 hockey
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.01.26	Jokerit U20 - HIFK U20	1:4 ✺
23.01.26	KooKoo U20 - Jokerit U20	1:4 ✺
17.01.26	Jokerit U20 - JYP U20	0:3 ✺
16.01.26	Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Jokerit U20 - Pelicans U20	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.12.25	Jokerit U20 - Tappara U20	4:5 penalties
04.01.25	Jokerit U20 - Tappara U20	4:1
13.12.24	Tappara U20 - Jokerit U20	1:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.24	Tappara U20 - Jokerit U20	4:6
Finnish SM-sarja U20
09.12.23	Jokerit U20 - Tappara U20	4:3 penalties
24.09.23	Tappara U20 - Jokerit U20	5:2
05.04.23	Jokerit U20 - Tappara U20	2:6

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