Match Info

SHL

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Hockey, TV4 Play


	Örebro		Färjestad

	1	X	2
	3	4.5	2.05
	2.84	4.09	2.19	Watch
	2.91	3.5	2.19
	2.96	3.83	2.15	Watch
	2.7	3.9	2.1
	2.85	4.1	2.14	Watch
	2.75	4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.8)	3.99 ↑ (3.71)	2.15 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro
32.8%

Draw
23.5%

Färjestad
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

25.2%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.9%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Färjestad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Färjestad than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Örebro - Färjestad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Arntzen J. (G)	33. Larmi E. (G)
55. Quenneville D.	32. Nygren M. (C)
28. Arnesson L.	73. Mattsson A.
89. Karlkvist P.	22. Aslund P.
11. Kossila K.	96. Tomasek D.
21. Puistola P.	11. Nygard J. (A)
Line 2
7. Martin L.	6. Wikman A.
5. Backstrom G. (A)	27. Carlsson G.
72. Ylonen J.	28. Alba E.
80. Miketinac K.	39. Philp L.
46. Sjodin S.	98. Studenic M.
Line 3
6. Berglund F.	48. Roos F.
27. Seppala P.	7. Bergkvist A. (A)
23. Polin E.	15. Berglund J.
29. Oscarson M.	67. Zohorna R.
12. Steen N.	71. Lodin V.
Line 4
48. Vainio J.	65. Fransen N.
37. Gustafsson G. (C)	23. Eriksen M.
33. Mastomaki C. (A)	12. Jansson C.
17. Wikman W.	92. Forsell L.
Substitutes
51. Aaram-Olsen N.	18. Marcelius O.
1. Enroth J. (G)	35. Thelin M. (G)
30. Tornblom K. (G)
Coaches
. Eriksson N.	. Abbott C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:47, Oscarson M. (2 min),
11:32, 0 - 1, Nygard J. (G), Roos F. (A), Tomasek D. (A2)
13:07, Forsell L. (2 min),
18:43, Martin L. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:58, Zohorna R. (2 min),
10:06, 0 - 2, Roos F. (G), Alba E. (A), Philp L. (A2)
17:39, Gustafsson G. (2 min),
17:39, Mattsson A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
08:13, 0 - 3, Roos F. (G), Lodin V. (A), Berglund J. (A2)
15:58, Lodin V. (2 min),
17:58, Nygren M. (2 min),
17:58, Berglund J. (2 min),
17:58, Berglund F. (2 min),
19', (2 min),
19', (2 min),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 1.

Recent form of Örebro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Färjestad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 47:57. (average 2.4:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Örebro won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 2.7:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Farjestad	7	6	0	1	0	28:6	19
10	Orebro	7	2	0	2	3	14:20	8

Last Results with these Odds

Örebro - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.34%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Färjestad - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.49%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro HK
SHL
29.01.26	Örebro - HV71	1:5 ✺
24.01.26	Frölunda - Örebro	4:5 ✺
22.01.26	Örebro - Växjö Lakers	0:1 OT ✺
17.01.26	Skellefteå - Örebro	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Luleå - Örebro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLL
- Farjestads BK
SHL
29.01.26	Färjestad - Frölunda	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Timrå - Färjestad	8:2 ✺
22.01.26	Färjestad - Luleå	3:2 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Färjestad - Brynäs	7:0 ✺
15.01.26	HV71 - Färjestad	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
18.12.25	Färjestad - Örebro	4:2
04.12.25	Örebro - Färjestad	2:3 OT
11.10.25	Färjestad - Örebro	2:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.09.25	Färjestad - Örebro	1:2
SHL
22.02.25	Färjestad - Örebro	4:1
09.01.25	Örebro - Färjestad	2:4
16.11.24	Färjestad - Örebro	2:3

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