Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Dinamo St. Petersburg

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.95	2.33	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.17)	3.85 ↓ (3.88)	2.29 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
36.1%

Draw
23.8%

Dinamo St. Petersburg
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

23.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.6%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AKM's form might have worsened.

Dinamo St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo St. Petersburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo St. Petersburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AKM - Dinamo St. Petersburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Dinamo SP (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo SP (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
91. Pastukh V. (G)	88. Kulikov D. (G)
25. Puchkov Y. (C)	7. Kozlovsky Y. (A)
71. Zaitsev D. (A)	3. Melyakov K.
63. Vakhrushev N.	72. Prokhorov D.
90. Komissarov L.	42. Zhukenov D.
52. Lapshin I.	99. Boikov L.
Line 2
7. Fyodorov S.	26. Salakhov M. (C)
85. Fazylzyanov K.	67. Sarayev V.
36. Shumilin Y.	10. Nazarevich A.
77. Sharifyanov T.	78. Nechayev A. (A)
28. Tsybin M.	89. Ushakov Y.
Line 3
3. Zhurakov D.	14. Nurgaliyev E.
38. Bulygin D.	59. Kalinichenko R.
10. Nazarov M.	96. Zinchenko I.
13. Bryntsev M.	93. Zugan D.
15. Yermakov Y.	23. Kotkov V.
Line 4
86. Ignatov S.	70. Rodionov Y.
80. Strugov Y.	56. Kazakovtsev I.
94. Mitrofanov A. (A)	11. Yezhov I.
70. Dyukarev V.	9. Davydov D.
79. Shulenin G.	31. Mikhailov V.
Substitutes
60. Kanarsky I. (G)	22. Velmakin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
12:13, 1 - 0, Vakhrushev N. (G), Komissarov L. (A),
15:48, 1 - 1, Mikhailov V. (G), Nurgaliyev E. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
12:40, 2 - 1, Bryntsev M. (G), Yermakov Y. (A), Nazarov M. (A2)
18:23, 2 - 2, Nechayev A. (G), Prokhorov D. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Boikov L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Komissarov L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kazakovtsev I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Tsybin M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kotkov V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Nazarov M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Nazarevich A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Yermakov Y. (Penalty Shot),
5, Nechayev A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dinamo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, AKM has had a series of away games.

Recently, Dinamo SP has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, AKM won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:46. (average 2.1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 2.6:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	AKM	12	7	0	3	2	38:29	17
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	11	4	1	1	5	30:36	11

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.07%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Dinamo St. Petersburg - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.43%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
16.01.26	AKM - SKA-VMF	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Norilsk - AKM	6:2 ✺
09.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - AKM	1:2 OT ✺
07.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - AKM	5:2 ✺
05.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - AKM	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW
- HC Dinamo St. Petersburg
VHL
13.01.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Chelny	3:5 ✺
11.01.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 penalties ✺
09.01.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - CSK VVS Samara	3:2 ✺
07.01.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Bars Kazan	4:1 ✺
22.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - SKA-VMF	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
03.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - AKM	5:3
16.12.24	AKM - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:4 OT
30.11.24	Dinamo St. Petersburg - AKM	1:0
10.02.24	AKM - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:5
11.09.23	Dinamo St. Petersburg - AKM	0:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
24.08.23	AKM - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:2
05.08.23	AKM - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:3 OT

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