Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk)


	Norilsk		AKM

	1	X	2
	2.13	4.15	2.79	Watch
	2.05	4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.19)	4.08 ↑ (3.84)	2.75 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
44%

Draw
22.6%

AKM
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

23.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

24.8%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Norilsk - AKM Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AKM will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Nikitin V. (G)	91. Pastukh V. (G)
18. Alexeyev D.	71. Zaitsev D.
44. Kovalev I.	85. Fazylzyanov K. (C)
56. Mokin N. (C)	52. Lapshin I.
11. Shevchenko V. (A)	90. Komissarov L.
63. Yemets I.	94. Mitrofanov A.
Line 2
28. Makeyev N.	25. Puchkov Y. (A)
64. Minayev Y.	3. Zhurakov D.
71. Golodnyuk S.	12. Rybakov V.
89. Gorbunov D. (A)	70. Dyukarev V.
69. Skorikov D.	28. Tsybin M. (A)
Line 3
21. Kolomiytsev I.	67. Ivanov G.
79. Chebykin Y.	38. Bulygin D.
93. Korenev I.	10. Nazarov M.
92. Yakovlev Y.	77. Sharifyanov T.
19. Aksenov A.	36. Shumilin Y.
Line 4
72. Korchemkin D.	24. Alishlalov M.
10. Lipanov A.	33. Gorodetsky B.
51. Popov O.	13. Bryntsev M.
86. Melnichenko K.	29. Kaburov G.
Substitutes
37. Botov M. (G)	60. Kanarsky I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
06:37, 1 - 0, Lipanov A. (G), Shevchenko V. (A),
09:16, 2 - 0, Minayev Y. (G), Aksenov A. (A), Yakovlev Y. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
01:17, 3 - 0, Golodnyuk S. (G), Skorikov D. (A), Gorbunov D. (A2)
11:07, 4 - 0, Shevchenko V. (G), Gorbunov D. (A),
14:12, 5 - 0, Golodnyuk S. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
09:48, 5 - 1, Komissarov L. (G), Kanarsky I. (A), Zhurakov D. (A2)
11:54, 6 - 1, Skorikov D. (G),
13:14, 6 - 2, Zhurakov D. (G), Nazarov M. (A), Sharifyanov T. (A2)

Preview

Norilsk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

AKM's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

AKM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Norilsk has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1.4:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	HC Norilsk	14	7	1	2	4	32:32	18
6	AKM	12	7	0	3	2	38:29	17

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.68%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
29.12.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Norilsk	2:3 penalties ✺
23.12.25	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	CSK VVS Samara - Norilsk	3:4 OT ✺
19.12.25	Chelny - Norilsk	4:2 ✺
17.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Norilsk	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.7 WWWLW
- AKM Tula
VHL
09.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - AKM	1:2 OT ✺
07.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - AKM	5:2 ✺
05.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - AKM	1:2 penalties ✺
28.12.25	AKM - Buran Voronezh	1:3 ✺
26.12.25	AKM - Rostov	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
11.11.25	AKM - Norilsk	2:1
29.01.25	Norilsk - AKM	3:2 OT
23.10.24	AKM - Norilsk	9:0
25.01.24	AKM - Norilsk	3:2
30.09.23	Norilsk - AKM	1:2

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