Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	2.19	3.9	2.83	Watch
	2.05	3.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.25)	3.88 ↑ (3.8)	2.79 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
43.3%

Draw
23.7%

SKA-VMF
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

24.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26.9%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AKM than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AKM that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA-VMF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AKM - SKA VMF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Kanarsky I. (G)	30. Zavragin Y. (G)
25. Puchkov Y. (C)	27. Sapunov V.
71. Zaitsev D. (A)	47. Zelenov Y.
86. Ignatov S.	16. Demidov S.
90. Komissarov L.	24. Sharov A. (C)
52. Lapshin I.	91. Lutfullin I.
Line 2
24. Alishlalov M.	68. Beshkorov K.
85. Fazylzyanov K.	80. Gryaznov G. (A)
36. Shumilin Y.	89. Surayev N.
77. Sharifyanov T.	17. Kabush M.
28. Tsybin M.	83. Shamshurin S.
Line 3
3. Zhurakov D.	21. Kalinin N.
38. Bulygin D.	14. Shekhovtsov Y. (A)
10. Nazarov M.	85. Kapchuk S.
13. Bryntsev M.	40. Proskurnin A.
15. Yermakov Y.	23. Osipov G.
Line 4
63. Vakhrushev N.	12. Remezovsky I.
80. Strugov Y.	10. Ignatov I.
94. Mitrofanov A. (A)	6. Marchenko T.
70. Dyukarev V.	82. Mamaladze D.
29. Kaburov G.
Substitutes
97. Skovronsky A. (G)	96. Kabat M.
	74. Podlyagin N. (G)
	31. Saranchuk G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
04:03, 0 - 1, Shekhovtsov Y. (G), Kabush M. (A), Shamshurin S. (A2)
13:31, 0 - 2, Kabush M. (G), Lutfullin I. (A), Shekhovtsov Y. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 2.

In recent matches, AKM has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SKA-VMF is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, AKM has had a series of away games.

Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, AKM won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 46:45. (average 3.1:3).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 3.1:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	AKM	12	7	0	3	2	38:29	17
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.69%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.21%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
12.01.26	Norilsk - AKM	6:2 ✺
09.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - AKM	1:2 OT ✺
07.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - AKM	5:2 ✺
05.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - AKM	1:2 penalties ✺
28.12.25	AKM - Buran Voronezh	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWL
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
11.01.26	SKA-VMF - Chelny	2:4 ✺
09.01.26	SKA-VMF - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	SKA-VMF - CSK VVS Samara	2:5 ✺
05.01.26	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	0:2 ✺
22.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - SKA-VMF	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.11.25	SKA-VMF - AKM	3:2
12.12.24	AKM - SKA-VMF	2:3
28.11.24	SKA-VMF - AKM	3:1
16.03.24	SKA-VMF - AKM	0:1 OT
15.03.24	SKA-VMF - AKM	2:4
12.03.24	AKM - SKA-VMF	6:2
11.03.24	AKM - SKA-VMF	4:3 OT

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