Match Info

VHL

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Magnitka Magnitogorsk		Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.39	2.57
	2.15	3.30	2.50
	2.18	3.96	2.79	Watch
	2.17	3.80	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.45)	3.61 ↓ (3.86)	2.65 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
41.3%

Draw
24.9%

Bars Kazan
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

24.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

26.5%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magnitka Magnitogorsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bars Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Bars Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Magnitka will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Magnitka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Kramzin Y. (G)	80. Chibizov A. (G)
37. Gololobov D.	24. Bogatov N. (A)
98. Ganabin Y.	39. Almetkin V.
71. Karapetyan D.	93. Barsukov I.
97. Galenyuk M.	9. Alshevsky S. (A)
8. Demchenko V. (A)	71. Shiksatdarov I.
Line 2
32. Shetle E.	53. Makhmutov A.
4. Zhloba N. (C)	62. Naumov G.
10. Osipovich B.	55. Sherstnyov D.
13. Zimin N. (A)	98. Saberzyanov M.
74. Zhugin V.	17. Gizatullin D.
Line 3
63. Vaulin M.	18. Abrosimov R.
5. Mukhranov Y.	76. Nikitin K.
88. Fateyev Y.	90. Ibragimov T.
54. Penzin Y.	28. Golubev D. (C)
23. Kotkov V.	23. Zinovyev D.
Line 4
95. Ilyov I.	84. Safin A.
87. Ananyin Y.	16. Toporkov V.
9. Kushnaryov A.	64. Gazizov R.
25. Serazetdinov D.	41. Klimkin I.
68. Golnik R.	94. Sakhapov T.
Substitutes
70. Dyubin A. (G)	70. Konovalov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:43, 1 - 0, Serazetdinov D. (G),
11:17, 1 - 1, Nikitin K. (G), Saberzyanov M. (A),
17:39, 2 - 1, Demchenko V. (G), Gololobov D. (A), Galenyuk M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
03:06, 3 - 1, Osipovich B. (G), Gololobov D. (A), Zimin N. (A2)
08:02, 3 - 2, Gizatullin D. (G), Almetkin V. (A), Barsukov I. (A2)
19:49, 4 - 2, Ganabin Y. (G), Gololobov D. (A),

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, Bars has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Magnitka is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Magnitka has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:13 (averaging 2.8:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Magnitka against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:5 goals (averaging 4:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
16	Bars	13	6	0	1	6	30:42	13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	10	4	0	4	2	21:18	12

Last Results with these Odds

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.07%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
30.09.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 OT ✺
28.09.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - CSK VVS Samara	3:0 ✺
22.09.26	Khimik - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:2 ✺
18.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLL
- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
30.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Bars Kazan	4:0 ✺
25.09.26	Bars Kazan - Molot Perm	0:4 ✺
23.09.26	Bars Kazan - Toros Neftekamsk	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	4:3 ✺
18.09.26	Bars Kazan - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.26	Bars Kazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:2
VHL
17.02.26	Bars Kazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:1
27.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Bars Kazan	3:2 OT
17.12.24	Bars Kazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:3
07.12.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Bars Kazan	5:3

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