Match Info

VHL

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Neftyanik Almetyevsk

	1	X	2
	4.53	4.6	1.59	Watch
	5	4.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (3.5)	4.55 ↑ (3.7)	1.58 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
19.8%

Draw
20.7%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

25.2%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

24.9%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AKM's form might have worsened.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftyanik Almetyevsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftyanik Almetyevsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AKM - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Kanarsky I. (G)	73. Nazarov Y. (G)
25. Puchkov Y. (A)	90. Sumin A. (A)
71. Zaitsev D.	38. Garaishin I.
15. Yermakov Y.	59. Terekhov S.
88. Shiafotdinov K.	50. Komkov D.
70. Dyukarev V.	9. Bykov M.
Line 2
85. Fazylzyanov K. (C)	89. Onishko A.
23. Yuzbashyan R.	49. Khamidullin D. (C)
36. Shumilin Y.	61. Khasanov I.
77. Sharifyanov T.	77. Marushev M.
28. Tsybin M. (A)	99. Zhulin T.
Line 3
38. Bulygin D.	75. Ionov S.
80. Strugov Y.	8. Mulyukov I.
47. Bulatov D.	32. Yakupov R.
13. Bryntsev M.	70. Boychuk D. (A)
19. Moiseyev D.	71. Shakirov R.
Line 4
29. Kaburov G.	91. Nafigin I.
90. Komissarov L.	85. Kurbanov A.
79. Shulenin G.	87. Rakhimullin A.
	63. Platonov Y.
	88. Bulatov A.
Substitutes
32. Manin Y.	37. Nosov G. (G)
91. Pastukh V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:05, 1 - 0, Moiseyev D. (G), Bulygin D. (A),
19:40, 1 - 1, Zhulin T. (G), Yakupov R. (A), Khamidullin D. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:59, 2 - 1, Kaburov G. (G), Fazylzyanov K. (A), Shulenin G. (A2)
17:00, 3 - 1, Sharifyanov T. (G), Shumilin Y. (A), Tsybin M. (A2)
18:24, 3 - 2, Khasanov I. (G), Shakirov R. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
08:03, 3 - 3, Bykov M. (G), Shakirov R. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Shumilin Y. (Penalty Shot),
1, Shakirov R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Tsybin M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Terekhov S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Yermakov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Zhulin T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Sharifyanov T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Komkov D. (Penalty Shot),
5, Fazylzyanov K. (Penalty Shot),
5, Bulatov A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 2.

Recent form of AKM has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

AKM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, AKM has had a series of home games.

In this match, Neftyanik Almetyevsk is the team to beat.

We predict that Neftyanik Almetyevsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, AKM won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 2.5:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 3.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.11%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
25.10.25	AKM - Chelny	2:6 ✺
23.10.25	AKM - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
21.10.25	AKM - CSK VVS Samara	1:3 ✺
15.10.25	AKM - Ryazan	0:6 ✺
10.10.25	Dizel Penza - AKM	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLLW
- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
25.10.25	Ryazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:3 ✺
23.10.25	Dizel Penza - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 OT ✺
21.10.25	Kristall Saratov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:4 ✺
16.10.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Izhstal	4:1 ✺
14.10.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
07.02.25	AKM - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	5:2
14.10.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - AKM	2:4
23.04.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - AKM	3:2 OT
22.04.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - AKM	4:3
19.04.24	AKM - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:3
18.04.24	AKM - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4
08.01.24	AKM - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	5:1

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