Match Info

KHL

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Fetisov Arena (Vladivostok)


	Admiral Vladivostok		Metallurg Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	5	4.8	1.61	Watch
	4.4	4.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↑ (4.41)	4.78 ↓ (4.81)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Admiral Vladivostok
20.4%

Draw
20%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

19.7%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

20.9%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Admiral Vladivostok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Admiral Vladivostok than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Admiral Vladivostok - Metallurg Magnitogorsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Tsyba A. (G)	20. Smolin A. (G)
19. Shepelev A.	21. Press R.
73. Sulak L. (A)	85. Maklyukov A. (C)
90. Soshnikov N. (C)	14. Silantyev D.
64. Shestakov A. (A)	8. Kantserov R.
88. Timashov D.	19. Tkachev V. (A)
Line 2
62. Solyannikov G.	9. Orekhov V.
77. Grman M.	44. Yakovlev Y.
18. Starkov S.	28. Tolchinsky S.
16. Shen P.	26. Barach D.
78. Gutik D.	29. Vovchenko D.
Line 3
57. Ruchkin S.	72. Minulin A.
7. Deryabin D.	56. Khabarov M.
89. Geraskin I.	31. Petunin A.
25. Olson K.	22. Iskhakov R.
17. Zavgorodny D.	11. Mikhailis N.
Line 4
23. Kudashov A.	87. Palivko D.
71. Muranov I.	39. Kozlov A.
74. Osnovin V.	84. Fyodorov M.
38. Tertyshny N.	47. Johnson L. (A)
	96. Korotkov N.
Substitutes
31. Noskov A. (G)	30. Nabokov I. (G)
Coaches
. Bratash O.	. Razin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 4)
02:17, 0 - 1, Iskhakov R. (G), Mikhailis N. (A),
03:26, Solyannikov G. (2 min),
04:35, 0 - 2, Tolchinsky S. (G), Vovchenko D. (A), Press R. (A2)
06:32, 1 - 2, Starkov S. (G), Shen P. (A), Gutik D. (A2)
07:58, Deryabin D. (2 min),
08:19, Soshnikov N. (2 min),
08:56, 1 - 3, Barach D. (G), Yakovlev Y. (A), Silantyev D. (A2)
11:15, 2 - 3, Shen P. (G), Zavgorodny D. (A),
15:29, 2 - 4, Korotkov N. (G), Johnson L. (A), Khabarov M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:54, 2 - 5, Barach D. (G), Vovchenko D. (A), Yakovlev Y. (A2)
08:40, 3 - 5, Osnovin V. (G), Kudashov A. (A),
09:07, Yakovlev Y. (2 min),
09:07, Yakovlev Y. (2 min),
10:47, 4 - 5, Soshnikov N. (G), Sulak L. (A),
11:36, Gutik D. (2 min),
17:52, Minulin A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
02:28, Korotkov N. (2 min),
07:55, Sulak L. (2 min),
15:25, 4 - 6, Tolchinsky S. (G), Vovchenko D. (A),
16:30, Shestakov A. (2 min),
18:09, 4 - 7, Johnson L. (G), Press R. (A), Tolchinsky S. (A2)
18:56, 4 - 8, Orekhov V. (G), Fyodorov M. (A), Korotkov N. (A2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Admiral won 1.

Admiral is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Metallurg M is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Metallurg M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Admiral has had a series of away games.

Recently, Metallurg M has had a series of home games.

In this match, Metallurg M is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Metallurg M will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Admiral won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 44:67. (average 2.2:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Admiral won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1.9:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Admiral Vladivostok - the odds 4.41 are the expected chance of winning is 21.52%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Admiral Vladivostok
KHL
12.01.26	Dinamo Minsk - Admiral Vladivostok	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Admiral Vladivostok	4:2 ✺
08.01.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Admiral Vladivostok	3:2 penalties ✺
06.01.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Admiral Vladivostok	5:2 ✺
03.01.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Amur Khabarovsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
14.01.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sochi	9:0 ✺
10.01.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - SKA Saint Petersburg	5:1 ✺
08.01.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avangard Omsk	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	5:4 OT ✺
03.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
22.11.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	4:3 penalties
05.11.25	Admiral Vladivostok - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.08.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	4:2
KHL
19.03.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	5:4 penalties
16.01.25	Admiral Vladivostok - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:2
07.01.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	4:3 OT
05.11.24	Admiral Vladivostok - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 OT

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