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Current Win Probability
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg 36%
Draw 24.1%
Metallurg Magnitogorsk 39.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.2%
22.1%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
21.5%
47.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metallurg Magnitogorsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Magnitogorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Avtomobilist will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Metallurg M will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
18. Alikin Y. (G)
20. Smolin A. (G)
89. Karpukhin I.
56. Khabarov M.
55. Vorobyov K.
74. Siryatsky A.
78. Kadeykin A. (A)
27. Todd N.
21. Ruzicka A.
28. Tolchinsky S.
11. Sprong D.
29. Vovchenko D.
Line 2
79. Gross J.
9. Orekhov V.
44. Yudin D.
44. Yakovlev Y. (C)
86. Sharov A.
11. Mikhailis N.
66. Gushchin D.
19. Tkachev V. (A)
17. Barabanov A.
47. Johnson L.
Line 3
88. Tryamkin N. (C)
72. Minulin A.
7. Busygin Y.
87. Palivko D.
77. Tarasov M.
22. Iskhakov R.
76. Kashtanov A.
94. Korobkin Y. (A)
24. Denezhkin M.
96. Korotkov N.
Line 4
10. Clague K.
58. Zelenov Y.
92. Gorbunov R.
39. Kozlov A.
19. Chernikov Y.
63. Vokhmyanin A.
15. Golyshev A. (A)
84. Fyodorov M.
Substitutes
50. Zinaddin L. (G)
93. Nechayev I.
30. Zavragin Y. (G)
Coaches
. Kudashov A.
. Shafranov K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
05:43, Johnson L. (2 min),
07:31, Denezhkin M. (2 min),
17:54, Clague K. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
08:32, 1 - 0, Kadeykin A. (G), Ruzicka A. (A), Sprong D. (A2)
09:34, 1 - 1, Orekhov V. (G), Kozlov A. (A), Iskhakov R. (A2)
14:23, 1 - 2, Kozlov A. (G), Minulin A. (A), Nechayev I. (A2)
15:30, Sharov A. (2 min),
16:49, Yakovlev Y. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
01:53, 1 - 3, Iskhakov R. (G),
11:46, Kadeykin A. (2 min),
12:50, 2 - 3, Denezhkin M. (G), Busygin Y. (A),
15:22, 2 - 4, Todd N. (G), Tolchinsky S. (A), Vovchenko D. (A2)
17:30, Minulin A. (2 min),
17:58, 3 - 4, Sharov A. (G), Sprong D. (A), Gross J. (A2)
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 1st in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 2.
Avtomobilist is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Metallurg M have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Metallurg M may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Avtomobilist has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:63 (averaging 2.9:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Avtomobilist against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 33:29 goals (averaging 3.7:3.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 32.2%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 45.72%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Alikin Y. (G) 
Todd N. 
Ruzicka A. 
Sprong D. 
Gross J. 
Orekhov V. 
Palivko D. 
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