The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg 32.6%
Draw 22.7%
Metallurg Magnitogorsk 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
21.8%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
24%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Magnitogorsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Avtomobilist will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Metallurg M will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Metallurg M: 54% – 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Metallurg Magnitogorsk will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Galkin V. (G)
20. Smolin A. (G)
9. Blacker J.
21. Press R.
88. Tryamkin N. (C)
85. Maklyukov A. (C)
17. Macek B.
14. Silantyev D.
86. Sharov A.
8. Kantserov R. (A)
11. Sprong D.
19. Tkachev V. (A)
Line 2
21. Osipov M.
9. Orekhov V.
7. Busygin Y.
44. Yakovlev Y.
15. Golyshev A.
28. Tolchinsky S.
28. Byvaltsev A. (A)
39. Kozlov A.
92. Gorbunov R.
84. Fyodorov M.
Line 3
2. Zborovsky S.
72. Minulin A.
55. Vorobyov K. (A)
56. Khabarov M.
31. Khripunov S.
31. Petunin A.
24. Denezhkin M.
22. Iskhakov R.
97. Kizimov S.
11. Mikhailis N.
Line 4
62. Shchuchinov A.
87. Palivko D.
76. Kashtanov A.
94. Korobkin Y.
81. Romantsev D.
47. Johnson L.
99. Shashkov N.
96. Korotkov N.
Substitutes
18. Alikin Y. (G)
93. Nechayev I.
33. Utkin A. (G)
Coaches
. Zavarukhin N.
. Razin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
01:07, 1 - 0, Kizimov S. (G), Denezhkin M. (A),
13:01, 2 - 0, Sprong D. (G), Sharov A. (A), Blacker J. (A2)
14:51, Tryamkin N. (2 min),
19:06, Yakovlev Y. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
01:27, 3 - 0, Busygin Y. (G), Sharov A. (A), Macek B. (A2)
01:27, Smolin A. ↓, Utkin A. ↑,
01:43, Utkin A. ↓, Smolin A. ↑,
01:43, (2 min),
02:08, 4 - 0, Sprong D. (G), Macek B. (A), Sharov A. (A2)
04:35, Romantsev D. (2 min),
07:30, Sharov A. (2 min),
10:01, Byvaltsev A. (2 min),
11:14, 4 - 1, Yakovlev Y. (G), Tkachev V. (A), Kantserov R. (A2)
17:27, Kozlov A. (2 min),
18:05, 5 - 1, Sprong D. (G), Blacker J. (A), Kizimov S. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
04:35, 6 - 1, Denezhkin M. (G),
12:03, Denezhkin M. (2 min),
13:31, Romantsev D. (2 min),
13:31, Petunin A. (2 min),
13:31, Shashkov N. (5 min),
13:31, Johnson L. (5 min),
15:02, Sharov A. (2 min),
15:19, Fyodorov M. (2 min),
17:51, 7 - 1, Kashtanov A. (G), Zborovsky S. (A), Vorobyov K. (A2)
19:25, 8 - 1, Romantsev D. (G), Kizimov S. (A),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Metallurg M is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 1.
Avtomobilist has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Metallurg M is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Avtomobilist has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 50:64. (average 2.5:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Avtomobilist won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:33. (average 3:3.3).
Outrights of KHL for now
Yekaterinburg: 6.65%
Last Results with these Odds
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.85%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Galkin V. (G) 
Blacker J. 
Press R. 
Macek B. 
Sprong D. 
Gorbunov R. 
Johnson L. 
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