Match Info

KHL

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk)


	Metallurg Magnitogorsk		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	2.21	4.21	2.81	Watch
	2.2	4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)	4.11 ↓ (4.2)	2.81 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
43%

Draw
23.1%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

22.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

22.2%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Metallurg Magnitogorsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Metallurg M will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Nabokov I. (G)	92. Isayev D. (G)
21. Press R.	99. Sergeyev A.
85. Maklyukov A. (C)	5. Bereglazov A.
14. Silantyev D.	21. Dudorov V.
8. Kantserov R.	10. Ivanov G.
19. Tkachev V. (A)	47. Radulov A. (A)
Line 2
9. Orekhov V.	73. Cherepanov N.
44. Yakovlev Y.	28. Gernat M.
28. Tolchinsky S.	72. Beryozkin M.
39. Kozlov A.	78. Shalunov M.
29. Vovchenko D.	16. Kayumov A.
Line 3
72. Minulin A.	87. Rafikov R. (A)
56. Khabarov M.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
31. Petunin A.	7. Kiryanov N.
22. Iskhakov R.	51. Froese B.
11. Mikhailis N.	14. Panik R.
Line 4
87. Palivko D.	93. Misyul D.
94. Korobkin Y.	91. Alexeyev D.
47. Johnson L. (A)	63. Kraskovsky P.
96. Korotkov N.	90. Polunin A.
Substitutes
84. Fyodorov M.	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
88. Trofimov A. (G)
Coaches
. Razin A.	. Hartley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:50, 0 - 1, Cherepanov N. (G), Beryozkin M. (A),
19:24, 0 - 2, Shalunov M. (G), Kayumov A. (A), Gernat M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:33, Misyul D. (2 min),
05:15, 1 - 2, Johnson L. (G), Tolchinsky S. (A), Vovchenko D. (A2)
08:06, Orekhov V. (2 min),
08:53, Beryozkin M. (2 min),
13:15, Kantserov R. (2 min),
13:15, Froese B. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 2)
05:54, 2 - 2, Kozlov A. (G), Vovchenko D. (A),
07:05, 2 - 3, Kayumov A. (G), Shalunov M. (A),
07:52, Polunin A. (2 min),
09:03, 3 - 3, Silantyev D. (G), Mikhailis N. (A), Tkachev V. (A2)
12:41, Shalunov M. (2 min),
15:46, 4 - 3, Khabarov M. (G), Korobkin Y. (A), Korotkov N. (A2)
19:12, 4 - 4, Gernat M. (G), Sergeyev A. (A), Kayumov A. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:51, 5 - 4, Orekhov V. (G), Mikhailis N. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 4.

Metallurg M is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lokomotiv has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 53:43. (average 2.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg M won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 32:17. (average 3.2:1.7).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 24.42%

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.03%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
03.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:7 ✺
29.12.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	5:4 OT ✺
26.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties ✺
22.12.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	4:3 penalties ✺
19.12.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
04.01.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 penalties ✺
30.12.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:0 ✺
25.12.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dynamo Moscow	0:2 ✺
23.12.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Admiral Vladivostok	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avangard Omsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
01.02.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3
03.09.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3
24.04.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2
22.04.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2 OT
20.04.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:0
18.04.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:1
09.01.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	5:3

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