The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Admiral Vladivostok 37.2%
Draw 24%
Severstal Cherepovets 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
22.4%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
25.1%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Admiral Vladivostok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Admiral Vladivostok than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Admiral Vladivostok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Admiral will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Boyarkin N. (G)
29. Samoilov A. (G)
73. Sulak L. (C)
8. Kaldis Y.
65. Luchevnikov K.
32. Gregoire T.
93. Moiseyev D.
18. Veryayev D.
36. Camara A.
66. Podshivalov I.
17. Zavgorodny D. (A)
88. Dumbadze D. (C)
Line 2
94. Yefremov N.
75. Davydov T.
7. Morozov I.
78. Chuklinov S.
71. Muranov I. (A)
11. Yan D. (A)
47. Usmanov D.
17. Abrosimov R. (A)
11. Chezganov Y.
90. Chefanov I.
Line 3
55. Kroshchinsky F.
2. Grudinin V.
44. Zhukov K.
54. Churkin A.
15. Grass M.
6. Ivantsov I.
21. Khulapov D.
12. Skorenov A.
24. Musorov M.
79. Artamonov N.
Line 4
23. Kudashov A.
55. Kozhevnikov A.
45. Mukhtarov D.
70. Graf Y.
70. Yanchenko I.
71. Popugayev N. A.
72. Bulavchuk O.
97. Kizimov S.
Substitutes
35. Kulbakov I. (G)
51. Kvochko I.
30. Skotnikov V. (G)
Coaches
. Bratash O.
. Kozyrev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
11:02, Grass M. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:49, Grudinin V. (2 min),
04:49, Chezganov Y. (2 min),
14:11, Kozhevnikov A. (2 min),
17:10, 1 - 0, Yanchenko I. (G), Bulavchuk O. (A), Mukhtarov D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:33, Yanchenko I. (2 min),
18:00, Zavgorodny D. (2 min),
19:03, 2 - 0, Grass M. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Admiral won 0.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Admiral may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Admiral has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Admiral has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:55 (averaging 2.5:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Admiral against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 27:28 goals (averaging 3:3.1 per game).
Outrights of KHL for now
Vladivostok: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.55%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.