Match Info
KHLDate: 9 March 2026, MondayLocation: Arena-2000 Lokomotiv (Yaroslavl)
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Lokomotiv Yaroslavl |
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Severstal Cherepovets |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.78 |
4.25 |
4.22 |
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1.79 |
4.19 |
4.29 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.78) |
4.22 ↓
(4.38) |
4.26 ↑
(4.13) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
- The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
54.3% | Draw
23% | Severstal Cherepovets
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+0.7%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Severstal will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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92.  Isayev D. (G)
| 29. Samoilov A. (G)
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99. Sergeyev A.
| 32.  Gregoire T.
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5. Bereglazov A.
| 8. Kaldis Y.
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72. Beryozkin M.
| 88. Dumbadze D. (A)
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78. Shalunov M. (A)
| 66. Podshivalov I.
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16. Kayumov A.
| 18. Veryayev D.
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| Line 2 |
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73. Cherepanov N.
| 2. Grudinin V.
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28.  Gernat M.
| 21. Kamalov N.
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70. Surin Y.
| 23. Liska A. (C)
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10. Ivanov G.
| 17. Abrosimov R. (A)
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47. Radulov A. (A)
| 90. Chefanov I.
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| Line 3 |
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93. Misyul D.
| 7. Burenov N.
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4. Yelesin A. (C)
| 73. Zhukov A.
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7. Kiryanov N.
| 97. Chebykin N.
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51. Froese B.
| 53. Aimurzin D.
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14. Panik R.
| 99. Ilyin M.
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| Line 4 |
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49. Ulyev M.
| 77. Fomin M.
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9. Nikolayev I.
| 81. Kazulayev D.
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63. Kraskovsky P.
| 10. Tsitsyura V.
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13. Nikulin S.
| 12.  Skorenov A.
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| Substitutes |
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27. Kuzin A.
| 51. Kvochko I.
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38. Melnichuk A. (G)
| 1. Shostak K. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Hartley B.
| . Kozyrev A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 01:34, 1 - 0, Panik R. (G),
- 16:47, 2 - 0, Gernat M. (G), Kayumov A. (A), Beryozkin M. (A2)
- 18:55, 2 - 1, Abrosimov R. (G), Liska A. (A), Gregoire T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 03:17, Surin Y. (2 min),
- 05:01, 2 - 2, Liska A. (G), Tsitsyura V. (A), Kamalov N. (A2)
- 14:14, Ivanov G. (2 min),
- 18:20, Panik R. (2 min),
- 18:20, Kamalov N. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 08:43, 2 - 3, Dumbadze D. (G),
- 19:30, 3 - 3, Shalunov M. (G), Panik R. (A), Gernat M. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 00:56, 4 - 3, Ivanov G. (G),
Preview
Lokomotiv is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals) Severstal is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.Lokomotiv has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Severstal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Lokomotiv is seen as the favorite.We predict that Lokomotiv will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 54:35. (average 2.7:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 2.7:1.8).
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Last Results with these Odds
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 54.43%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 4.13 are the expected chance of winning is 23.46%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| KHL | | | 02.03.26 | Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 2:3 penalties | | 28.11.25 | Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 2:0 | | 13.10.25 | Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 4:3 | | 24.09.25 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets | 2:1 | | 09.09.25 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets | 4:1 | | Club Friendly Ice Hockey | | | 31.08.25 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets | 2:3 OT | | 20.08.25 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets | 0:2 |
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