Match Info

KHL

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Ice Palace (Cherepovets)


	Severstal Cherepovets		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.18	3.71	2.05
	3.1	3.65	2.02
	2.92	4.13	2.17	Watch
	2.9	3.95	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.79)	3.86 ↓ (4.25)	2.08 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
30.9%

Draw
24.2%

Dynamo Moscow
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

22.2%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

22.9%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Samoilov A. (G)	59. Podyapolsky V. (G)
8. Kaldis Y.	45. Pylenkov D.
2. Grudinin V.	92. Ozhiganov I. (C)
88. Dumbadze D. (C)	35. Korostelev N.
66. Podshivalov I.	57. Shvets-Rogovoy A. (A)
18. Veryayev D.	87. Rimashevsky Y. (A)
Line 2
78. Chuklinov S.	88. Blazhiyevsky A.
75. Davydov T.	96. Sharakanov M.
37. Reingardt I.	7. Letunov M.
17. Abrosimov R. (A)	10. Merkley N.
11. Yan D. (A)	90. Sikura D.
Line 3
73. Zhukov A.	22. Profaca L.
32. Gregoire T.	94. Novikov N.
79. Artamonov N.	16. Shen P.
70. Graf Y.	38. Tertyshny N.
51. Kvochko I.	70. Martynov I.
Line 4
77. Fomin M.	75. Patalakha M.
97. Kizimov S.	27. Melikov M.
90. Chefanov I.	29. Shafigullin B.
12. Skorenov A.	47. Bondar A.
Substitutes
6. Ivantsov I.	99. Motorygin M. (G)
30. Skotnikov V. (G)	77. Zugan D.
Coaches
. Kozyrev A.	. Tambijevs L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:47, 0 - 1, Pylenkov D. (G), Merkley N. (A), Sikura D. (A2)
06:33, Shvets-Rogovoy A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:31, Kaldis Y. (2 min),
01:56, 0 - 2, Sikura D. (G), Pylenkov D. (A), Shvets-Rogovoy A. (A2)
03:01, Podyapolsky V. (2 min),
08:24, Fomin M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
06:22, Shen P. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 2.

Severstal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dynamo M has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dynamo M may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dynamo M could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 37:61. (average 1.9:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 1.6:2.9).

Outrights of KHL for now

Dynamo Moscow: 4.32%

Last Results with these Odds

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.86%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Dynamo Moscow - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
12.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	8:0 ✺
10.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	2:1 OT ✺
07.09.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Lada Togliatti	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
31.08.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Severstal Cherepovets	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL
- HC Dynamo Moscow
KHL
12.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	3:2 penalties ✺
09.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Admiral Vladivostok	2:1 penalties ✺
07.09.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Dynamo Moscow	5:3 ✺
05.09.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Dynamo Moscow	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.26	Dinamo Minsk - Dynamo Moscow	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
30.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3
19.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	5:4 penalties
03.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 OT
30.10.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow	0:3
23.03.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow	3:2
14.01.25	Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	3:2
03.01.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow	2:7

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