Match Info

KHL

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Ice Palace (Cherepovets)


	Severstal Cherepovets		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.63	2.56
	2.35	4.13	2.76	Watch
	2.25	4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.03)	3.92 ↓ (4.33)	2.66 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
40.5%

Draw
24%

Spartak Moscow
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

21.8%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

22.5%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Severstal Cherepovets's form might have worsened.

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Spartak will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Severstal: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Severstal Cherepovets will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Skotnikov V. (G)	50. Zagidulin A. (G)
32. Gregoire T.	4. Keane J.
8. Kaldis Y.	94. Mironov A. (C)
51. Kvochko I.	87. Gutik D.
53. Aimurzin D.	95. Rubtsov G. (A)
99. Ilyin M.	13. Maltsev M.
Line 2
2. Grudinin V.	55. Vishnevsky D.
75. Davydov T.	62. Orlov D.
10. Tsitsyura V.	24. Poryadin P. (A)
17. Abrosimov R. (C)	17. Morozov I.
90. Chefanov I.	21. Ruzicka A.
Line 3
7. Burenov N.	78. Bychkov R.
21. Kamalov N.	8. Kniazev A.
97. Chebykin N.	90. Biro B.
6. Ivantsov I.	20. Lockhart L.
12. Skorenov A.	35. Korostelev N.
Line 4
16. Vashchenko G.	41. Solovyov D.
88. Dumbadze D. (A)	65. Mansurov D.
66. Podshivalov I. (A)	16. Pivchulin D.
37. Reingardt I.
Substitutes
85. Okunev I.	40. Georgiyev A. (G)
1. Shostak K. (G)	6. Ryabov I.
Coaches
. Kozyrev A.	. Zhamnov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
05:08, 0 - 1, Korostelev N. (G), Mironov A. (A), Biro B. (A2)
11:51, 0 - 2, Keane J. (G), Biro B. (A),
17:59, 0 - 3, Pivchulin D. (G), Lockhart L. (A), Kniazev A. (A2)
17:59, Skotnikov V. ↓, Shostak K. ↑,
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:03, Mironov A. (2 min),
16:53, 1 - 3, Burenov N. (G), Kamalov N. (A), Chebykin N. (A2)
17:07, Mironov A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:31, 1 - 4, Biro B. (G), Lockhart L. (A),
11:09, 1 - 5, Rubtsov G. (G), Gutik D. (A), Maltsev M. (A2)
15:45, Korostelev N. (2 min),
17:55, Mironov A. (2 min),
17:55, Ivantsov I. (2 min),
19:35, Kaldis Y. (2 min),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 3.

Recent performances by Severstal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Spartak is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Severstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Severstal has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 58:73. (average 2.9:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:33. (average 3.7:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Spartak Moscow - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.6%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
30.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
28.01.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 OT ✺
26.01.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	4:2 ✺
21.01.26	Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets	4:5 OT ✺
19.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL
- HC Spartak Moscow
KHL
30.01.26	Spartak Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:0 ✺
28.01.26	Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti	6:2 ✺
25.01.26	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 OT ✺
22.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - Spartak Moscow	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
06.01.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow	1:2
14.11.25	Spartak Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	3:4
11.09.25	Spartak Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	1:2
03.04.25	Spartak Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	5:2
01.04.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow	5:2
30.03.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow	0:1
28.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	4:2

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