Match Info

National League - Round 38

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Raiffeisen Arena (Porrentruy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Ajoie		Biel

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.75	1.7	Watch
	3.55	4.35	1.8
	3.44	4.18	1.87	Watch
	3.5	4.2	1.67
	3.52	4.43	1.86	Watch
	3.5	4	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.43)	4.32 ↓ (4.38)	1.77 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajoie
26.1%

Draw
21.5%

Biel
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

21.3%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

22.5%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajoie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Biel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biel than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Ajoie - Biel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Ciaccio D. (G)	35. Sateri H. (G)
26. Fey K. (C)	33. Hultstrom L.
3. Honka A.	14. Blessing N.
78. Sopa K.	29. Sylvegard M.
8. Devos P.	73. Cajka P.
74. Nattinen J.	24. Andersson L.
Line 2
15. Christe G.	71. Burren Y.
33. Friman N.	49. Zryd M.
4. Hazen J.	16. Hofer F.
19. Wick J.	92. Haas G. (C)
71. Mottet K.	22. Kneubuehler J.
Line 3
90. Fischer J.	94. Dionicio R.
91. Berthoud Y.	18. Stampfli Y.
87. Pedretti M.	88. Huuhtanen N.
70. Romanenghi M.	19. Neuenschwander J.
95. Bozon K.	25. Rajala T.
Line 4
2. Pilet V.	72. Bichsel F.
20. Cormier C.	27. Sablatnig Y.
73. Cavalleri C.	98. Christen L.
14. Veckaktins E.	23. Sever M.
Substitutes
28. Haller F. (G)	13. Cattin Nolan
18. Pouilly B.	74. Janett L. (G)
Coaches
. Ireland G.	. Filander M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
04:03, Honka A. (2 min),
11:14, Cormier C. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
04:55, 0 - 1, Huuhtanen N. (G), Neuenschwander J. (A),
12:15, Stampfli Y. (2 min),
13:08, 1 - 1, Devos P. (G), Hazen J. (A), Sopa K. (A2)
15:06, (2 min),
17:37, 1 - 2, Andersson L. (G), Sever M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
18:30, Hofer F. (2 min),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone National League (Play Out: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajoie won 3.

Recent form of Ajoie has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Biel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Biel is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajoie won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 48:77. (average 2.4:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajoie won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 2.7:3.6).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Biel: 3.28% Ajoie: 0.9%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Ajoie	10	2	3	2	3	30:34	14
13	Biel	9	3	0	1	5	29:32	10

Last Results with these Odds

Ajoie - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.19%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Biel - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ajoie
Swiss National League Hockey
06.01.26	Ajoie - ZSC Lions	3:5 ✺
03.01.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Ajoie	2:1 OT ✺
02.01.26	Ajoie - Bern	3:4 ✺
23.12.25	Ambrì-Piotta - Ajoie	2:5 ✺
22.12.25	Lugano - Ajoie	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWL
- EHC Biel
Swiss National League Hockey
06.01.26	Biel - Davos	4:3 penalties ✺
03.01.26	SCL Tigers - Biel	4:0 ✺
02.01.26	Biel - Lugano	3:1 ✺
23.12.25	ZSC Lions - Biel	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	Biel - Genève-Servette	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
19.11.25	Ajoie - Biel	3:4 OT
27.09.25	Biel - Ajoie	5:4 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
03.09.25	Biel - Ajoie	2:3 penalties
Swiss National League Hockey
31.01.25	Biel - Ajoie	3:4 OT
20.12.24	Ajoie - Biel	5:2
26.10.24	Ajoie - Biel	0:3
21.09.24	Biel - Ajoie	4:1

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