The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ajoie 36.6%
Draw 21.9%
Genève-Servette 41.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29%
20.2%
50.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
21.8%
47%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajoie's performance.
Genève-Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Genève-Servette might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajoie that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genève-Servette than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Genève-Servette could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Ajoie - Genève Servette Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ajoie will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Genève-Servette will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Keller A. (G)
38. Charlin S. (G)
3. Honka A. (C)
3. Boqvist A.
58. Zgraggen J.
90. Le Coultre S. (C)
32. Turkulainen J.
9. Puljujarvi J.
17. Smirnovs D.
23. Verboon M. (A)
27. Tanus K.
16. Vesey J.
Line 2
60. Honka J.
44. Rutta J.
26. Fey K.
18. Henauer M.
78. Sopa K.
94. Bozon T.
8. Devos P. (A)
19. Jooris J. (A)
74. Nattinen J.
85. Miranda M.
Line 3
15. Christe G.
77. Sutter D.
2. Pilet V.
25. Karrer R.
13. Robin L.
80. Ignatavicius S.
19. Wick J. (A)
20. Muller N.
20. Cormier C.
72. Douay F.
Line 4
16. Kellenberger M.
14. Chanton G.
41. Horak T.
93. Lemyre T.
11. Christen L.
67. Hedlund W.
86. Diem N.
88. Dandois A.
91. Berthoud Y.
Substitutes
29. Patenaude N. (G)
98. Achermann R.
39. Van Pottelberghe J. (G)
Coaches
. Peltonen V.
. Hallam S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
02:26, Honka A. (2 min),
08:33, 1 - 0, Zgraggen J. (G), Honka A. (A),
18:18, Rutta J. (2 min),
19:32, 2 - 0, Honka J. (G), Sopa K. (A), Devos P. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:27, Horak T. (2 min),
14:02, 3 - 0, Smirnovs D. (G), Tanus K. (A), Turkulainen J. (A2)
14:18, Miranda M. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:50, Pilet V. (2 min),
09:51, 4 - 0, Wick J. (G), Robin L. (A), Pilet V. (A2)
15:32, Hedlund W. (2 min),
18:21, 5 - 0, Cormier C. (G), Christe G. (A), Berthoud Y. (A2)
19:04, Ignatavicius S. (2 min),
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs and 3rd in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajoie won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Ajoie could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Genève-Servette has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Genève-Servette is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ajoie has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 42:74 (averaging 2.1:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ajoie against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 20:37 goals (averaging 2:3.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Servette
18
7
3
2
6
46:53
29
12
Ajoie
18
4
4
2
8
54:62
22
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Servette: 12.2% Ajoie: 1.13%
Last Results with these Odds
Genève-Servette - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.81%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.