The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ajoie 26.5%
Draw 21%
EV Zug 52.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.3%
21.2%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
22.5%
47.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajoie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
EV Zug has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Ajoie - EV Zug Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. EV Zug will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Keller A. (G)
30. Genoni L. (G)
3. Honka A.
16. Diaz R.
58. Zgraggen J.
66. Sklenicka D.
13. Robin L.
90. Tatar T.
17. Smirnovs D.
43. Kovar J.
27. Tanus K.
40. Wingerli A.
Line 2
60. Honka J.
65. Schneller E.
26. Fey K.
3. Moverare J.
32. Turkulainen J.
73. Kunzle M.
8. Devos P.
9. Rohrer V.
74. Nattinen J.
81. Kubalik D.
Line 3
15. Christe G.
42. Geisser T.
2. Pilet V.
37. Riva E.
78. Sopa K.
11. Petrovic N.
19. Wick J.
88. Senteler S.
20. Cormier C.
15. Hofmann G.
Line 4
41. Horak T.
14. Stadler L.
44. Christen L.
8. Gredig R.
86. Diem N.
61. Leuenberger S.
73. Cavalleri C.
86. Antenen R. N.
Substitutes
25. Tarchini N.
31. Croce M. (G)
1. Wolf T. (G)
95. Lindemann C. S.
Coaches
. Peltonen V.
. Marjamaki L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
05:05, Pilet V. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:35, Stadler L. (2 min),
06:35, 1 - 0, Turkulainen J. (G), Robin L. (A),
08:08, Diaz R. (2 min),
09:37, 1 - 1, Rohrer V. (G), Geisser T. (A),
18:33, Pilet V. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:41, 1 - 2, Diaz R. (G), Kubalik D. (A),
11:50, Smirnovs D. (2 min),
12:12, Devos P. (2 min),
17:27, Riva E. (2 min),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs and 10th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajoie won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
EV Zug could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, EV Zug has had a run of games away from home.
EV Zug is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Ajoie in today's match, at odds of 3.32.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ajoie has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:84 (averaging 1.7:4.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ajoie against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 14:33 goals (averaging 1.4:3.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Zug
11
7
0
1
3
38:24
22
9
Ajoie
17
4
4
2
7
53:58
22
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Zug: 5.15% Ajoie: 1.13%
Last Results with these Odds
Ajoie - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.