Match Info

Championship

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Aktobe Sports Palace (Aktobe)


	Aktobe		Gornyak Rudny

	1	X	2
	7.65	5.65	1.26
	8.5	5.5	1.27	Watch
	7.5	5.5	1.25
	8.1	6.7	1.21
	7.75	5.5	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.9 ↑ (4.89)	5.77 ↑ (5.52)	1.25 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe
11.5%

Draw
15.7%

Gornyak Rudny
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

16.6%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

16.9%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aktobe's form might have worsened.

Gornyak Rudny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gornyak Rudny's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aktobe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak Rudny than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gornyak Rudny, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aktobe - Gornyak Rudny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Dubovich M. (G)	81. Nurek V. (G)
27. Aflitonov D.	9. Barabash D.
71. Argymabayev S.	96. Gorozhaninov I.
98. Astrakhantsev G.	88. Kankin K.
77. Belyakov D.	7. Katkov A. (A)
76. Gerasimov Y.	28. Krotov V.
10. Ishchenko I.	5. Kurshuk A. (A)
88. Katassonov M.	93. Lazarev S.
4. Kiselyov D. (A)	15. Lyapunov N.
8. Komarov V. (A)	87. Mozzherin M.
7. Kozorez A.	25. Omelkovets D.
21. Kursakbayev R.	19. Parkhomenko D.
95. Nadeikin D.	35. Platonov D.
97. Plotnikov V.	10. Rakhimov S.
72. Saparbek D.	24. Ryazanov D.
28. Shaikenov Y. (C)	97. Savvin R.
74. Tribunsky K.	11. Shimin Y.
87. Tsikhotsky D.	52. Stepanov Y.
23. Zakharov Z.	8. Utebayev R.
15. Zizevskikh V.	17. Yulbarisov O. (C)
33. Zubarev R.	66. Zhumagaliyev T.
Substitutes
31. Kostyukov I. (G)	40. Tikhonov V. (G)
90. Yershov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
06:53, 0 - 1, Stepanov Y. (G), Yulbarisov O. (A), Kurshuk A. (A2)
18:49, 0 - 2, Platonov D. (G), Yulbarisov O. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
05:32, 1 - 2, Ishchenko I. (G), Komarov V. (A), Astrakhantsev G. (A2)
08:32, 1 - 3, Krotov V. (G),

Preview

Gornyak Rudny is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 2.

Aktobe is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gornyak Rudny is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Aktobe has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gornyak Rudny is considered a favorite.

We predict that Gornyak Rudny will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 69:72. (average 3.5:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:47. (average 3.3:4.3).

Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now

Gornyak Rudny: 3.14% Aktobe: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Gornyak Rudny	16	9	2	1	4	66:39	23
9	Aktobe	16	2	0	1	13	41:81	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Aktobe
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
10.02.26	Aktobe - Gornyak Rudny	3:6 ✺
07.02.26	Saryarka - Aktobe	4:1 ✺
06.02.26	Saryarka - Aktobe	8:3 ✺
03.02.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Aktobe	5:1 ✺
02.02.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Aktobe	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gornyak Rudny
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
10.02.26	Aktobe - Gornyak Rudny	3:6 ✺
07.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	2:5 ✺
06.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	1:4 ✺
03.02.26	Gornyak Rudny - Nomad	3:0 ✺
02.02.26	Gornyak Rudny - Nomad	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
10.02.26	Aktobe - Gornyak Rudny	3:6
23.12.25	Gornyak Rudny - Aktobe	3:1
22.12.25	Gornyak Rudny - Aktobe	3:4 OT
10.12.25	Aktobe - Gornyak Rudny	1:0
09.12.25	Aktobe - Gornyak Rudny	3:4
15.12.24	Aktobe - Gornyak Rudny	8:3
14.12.24	Aktobe - Gornyak Rudny	5:4 penalties

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