Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 13 February 2024, Tuesday


	Almaty		Ertis Pavlodar

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.75	3.75
	1.55	4.8	4	Watch
	1.55	5	4.15
	1.53	4.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 (1.57)	4.84 ↑ (4.55)	3.98 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaty
58.2%

Draw
18.9%

Ertis Pavlodar
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

20%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

15.9%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ertis Pavlodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaty than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almaty that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almaty won 4.

Almaty has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ertis Pavlodar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ertis Pavlodar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Almaty is a favorite.

Last 54 head-to-head matches Almaty won 26 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 28 matches and goals 155-149.

Including matches at home between the teams Almaty won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 97-81.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Almaty
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
09.02.24	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Almaty	5:0 ✺
03.02.24	Almaty - Beibarys Atyrau	2:9 ✺
31.01.24	Almaty - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	1:9 ✺
25.01.24	Aktobe - Almaty	5:1 ✺
22.01.24	Arlan Kokshetau - Almaty	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HC Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
07.02.24	Ertis Pavlodar - Arlan Kokshetau	3:2 penalties ✺
04.02.24	Ertis Pavlodar - Saryarka	2:4 ✺
29.01.24	Ertis Pavlodar - Nomad	1:7 ✺
26.01.24	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Ertis Pavlodar	8:1 ✺
22.01.24	Gornyak Rudny - Ertis Pavlodar	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 94 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
11.11.23	Ertis Pavlodar - Almaty	0:3
10.11.23	Ertis Pavlodar - Almaty	1:4
24.09.23	Almaty - Ertis Pavlodar	8:2
23.09.23	Almaty - Ertis Pavlodar	7:1
22.12.22	Almaty - Ertis Pavlodar	4:5 OT
21.12.22	Almaty - Ertis Pavlodar	3:6
01.11.22	Ertis Pavlodar - Almaty	4:2

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