Match Info

MHL

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	Almaz		Avto

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.45	4.2
	1.63	4.45	4.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2)	4.45 ↓ (4.7)	4.17 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaz
56.8%

Draw
20.9%

Avto
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

19.9%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

19.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almaz's performance.

Avto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avto than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Almaz - Avto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Melchakov A. (G)	73. Burlakov S. (G)
14. Istomin L.	54. Boikov D.
4. Smirnov I.	33. Baikov O. (A)
81. Kazulayev D. (A)	58. Zhirov S.
80. Volzhenkov L.	67. Gashilov L. (A)
3. Ulyanov V.	37. Mortsinkevich Y.
Line 2
98. Gulenok T.	49. Tokmakov D.
43. Kichigin N.	94. Kaigorodov G.
37. Savin V.	51. Pimin A. (C)
96. Shilov G. (C)	75. Dudorga G.
24. Denezhkin V.	78. Kuznetsov A.
Line 3
71. Korzin A.	5. Mamai A.
36. Konovalov M.	53. Yurkov K.
34. Vlasov Y.	12. Shchukin Y.
91. Perminov T. (A)	89. Afanasyev N.
92. Prishchepa I.	34. Kasimov A.
Line 4
79. Zakharov I.	60. Semeikin D.
78. Semenov N.	52. Gorbunov A.
44. Bayushev G.	36. Zheltov Y.
93. Muminov L.	61. Gubin I.
	42. Morozov P.
Substitutes
46. Dovgy I. (G)	50. Gorbunov S. (G)
65. Rasputin D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:35, 1 - 0, Perminov T. (G), Shilov G. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:19, 2 - 0, Volzhenkov L. (G), Gulenok T. (A),
15:56, 3 - 0, Ulyanov V. (G), Kazulayev D. (A), Smirnov I. (A2)

Preview

Almaz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Avto has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Avto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Almaz has had a series of away games.

Almaz could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Almaz will win today's game, with odds of 2.04.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almaz Cherepovets
MHL
15.10.25	SKA-1946 - Almaz	0:3 ✺
14.10.25	SKA-1946 - Almaz	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Almaz	3:4 OT ✺
10.10.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Almaz	3:0 ✺
07.10.25	Almaz - SKA-Akademiya	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39 WWWLW
- Avto Yekaterinburg
MHL
20.10.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Avto	6:2 ✺
14.10.25	Avto - Sputnik Almetyevsk	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Avto - Reaktor	3:6 ✺
07.10.25	Mamonty Yugry - Avto	2:1 ✺
06.10.25	Mamonty Yugry - Avto	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Almaz - Avto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide