Match Info

MHL

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Almaz		SKA-Akademiya

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.45	3.85
	1.7	4.35	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.89)	4.4 ↓ (4.8)	3.83 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaz
54.9%

Draw
21%

SKA-Akademiya
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

19.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

19.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almaz's performance.

SKA-Akademiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA-Akademiya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-Akademiya than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA-Akademiya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Almaz - SKA Akademiya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almaz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Period - Almaz (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Almaz (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, OT - Almaz (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Almaz (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Melchakov A. (G)	75. Perov A. (G)
4. Smirnov I.	8. Uglov A.
90. Ivanov I.	12. Khodeyev Y.
81. Kazulayev D.	23. Shapovalov A.
80. Volzhenkov L.	9. Fursov K.
3. Ulyanov V.	10. Nikolayev G.
Line 2
79. Zakharov I.	25. Maltsev A.
43. Kichigin N.	96. Levoshevich D.
34. Vlasov Y.	92. Masiyansky M. (C)
96. Shilov G.	11. Vasilyev V.
24. Denezhkin V.	65. Privalov Y. (A)
Line 3
71. Korzin A.	44. Kanarsky Y.
36. Konovalov M.	7. Aptikashev D.
37. Savin I.	81. Chervyakov I.
91. Perminov T.	72. Chernykh D.
92. Prishchepa I.	4. Korablyov A. (A)
Line 4
98. Gulenok T.	73. Gorbushin P.
45. Sobolev S.	29. Kovalyov M.
93. Muminov L.	97. Samoilov A.
76. Golovanov M.	71. Lvov N.
65. Rasputin D.	87. Kireyev A.
Substitutes
50. Bogatyrev B. (G)	70. Popov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
07:53, 1 - 0, Kazulayev D. (G), Volzhenkov L. (A), Konovalov M. (A2)
17:18, 1 - 1, Uglov A. (G), Masiyansky M. (A), Vasilyev V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
14:13, 2 - 1, Ulyanov V. (G), Kazulayev D. (A), Volzhenkov L. (A2)
18:51, 2 - 2, Shapovalov A. (G), Nikolayev G. (A), Aptikashev D. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
05:10, 3 - 2, Perminov T. (G), Denezhkin V. (A), Shilov G. (A2)
08:45, 4 - 2, Kazulayev D. (G), Prishchepa I. (A), Kichigin N. (A2)
11:37, 4 - 3, Fursov K. (G), Maltsev A. (A),
19:11, 5 - 3, Kichigin N. (G), Ulyanov V. (A),

Preview

Almaz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, SKA-Akademiya has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Almaz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Almaz has had a series of away games.

In this match, Almaz is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almaz won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 4.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Almaz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 5.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almaz Cherepovets
MHL
01.10.25	Tayfun - Almaz	3:7 ✺
29.09.25	Amurskie Tigry - Almaz	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Almaz	1:5 ✺
21.09.25	Almaz - Kapitan Stupino	3:1 ✺
17.09.25	AKM-Junior - Almaz	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW
- SKA-Akademiya
MHL
05.10.25	Loko - SKA-Akademiya	5:1 ✺
03.10.25	Red Machine Junior - SKA-Akademiya	0:1 ✺
29.09.25	SKA-Akademiya - Reaktor	4:2 ✺
26.09.25	SKA-Akademiya - Molot Perm	6:2 ✺
24.09.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - SKA-Akademiya	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.08.25	SKA-Akademiya - Almaz	2:4
MHL
18.12.24	SKA-Akademiya - Almaz	1:3
10.11.24	Almaz - SKA-Akademiya	4:1
01.02.24	SKA-Akademiya - Almaz	2:6
15.09.23	Almaz - SKA-Akademiya	7:6

Almaz - SKA-Akademiya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide