Match Info

RUSSIA: MHL - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Almaz		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.88	4.3	2.9
	1.91	4.26	3.52
	1.96	4.25	3.1	Watch
	1.89	4.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.72)	4.25 ↓ (4.55)	3.13 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaz
48.6%

Draw
21.8%

Dynamo Moscow
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

20.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

20.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almaz's form might have worsened.

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almaz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

4th leg. Dynamo Msk (MHL) leads series 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almaz won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Dynamo Moscow could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Almaz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Almaz won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 65-77.

Including matches at home between the teams Almaz won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 35-40.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almaz Cherepovets
MHL
12.03.24	Almaz - Dynamo Moscow	4:2 ✺
09.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	4:3 ✺
08.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	3:2 ✺
24.02.24	Almaz - Russkie Vityazi	5:3 ✺
21.02.24	Almaz - Dinamo-Shinnik	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWW
- HC Dynamo Moscow
KHL
12.03.24	Dinamo Minsk - Dynamo Moscow	1:3 ✺
MHL
12.03.24	Almaz - Dynamo Moscow	4:2 ✺
KHL
10.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 OT ✺
MHL
09.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	4:3 ✺
KHL
08.03.24	Dinamo Minsk - Dynamo Moscow	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
12.03.24	Almaz - Dynamo Moscow	4:2
09.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	4:3
08.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	3:2
04.02.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	4:1
03.02.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	0:2
25.09.23	Almaz - Dynamo Moscow	4:5 OT
24.09.23	Almaz - Dynamo Moscow	5:1

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