Match Info

RUSSIA: MHL - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday


	Dynamo Moscow		Almaz

	1	X	2
	2.02	4.2	2.65
	2.21	3.87	3.01
	2.01	3.98	3.13	Watch
	1.94	4.1	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.39)	4.04 ↑ (3.9)	2.94 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Moscow
45.4%

Draw
23%

Almaz
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

24.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

23.3%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dynamo Moscow's performance.

Almaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

5th leg. Series tied 2-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dynamo Moscow won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Almaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Dynamo Moscow won 17 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 79-68.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo Moscow won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37-30.

Last Results with these Odds

Dynamo Moscow - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.73%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dynamo Moscow
MHL
13.03.24	Almaz - Dynamo Moscow	3:2 OT ✺
KHL
12.03.24	Dinamo Minsk - Dynamo Moscow	1:3 ✺
MHL
12.03.24	Almaz - Dynamo Moscow	4:2 ✺
KHL
10.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 OT ✺
MHL
09.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- Almaz Cherepovets
MHL
13.03.24	Almaz - Dynamo Moscow	3:2 OT ✺
12.03.24	Almaz - Dynamo Moscow	4:2 ✺
09.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	4:3 ✺
08.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	3:2 ✺
24.02.24	Almaz - Russkie Vityazi	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
13.03.24	Almaz - Dynamo Moscow	3:2 OT
12.03.24	Almaz - Dynamo Moscow	4:2
09.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	4:3
08.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	3:2
04.02.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	4:1
03.02.24	Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	0:2
25.09.23	Almaz - Dynamo Moscow	4:5 OT

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