Match Info

MHL

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Kapitan Stupino		Loko

	1	X	2
	6.77	5.65	1.33	Watch
	6.54	5.36	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.66 ↓ (7.65)	5.51 ↓ (5.8)	1.34 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kapitan Stupino
13.9%

Draw
16.8%

Loko
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

16.1%

71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

16.2%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapitan Stupino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Loko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loko than the current prediction. (+2%)

Kapitan Stupino - Loko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
50. Rudovich P. (G)	30. Safonov S. (G)
4. Kruglikov D.	71. Shokhrin R.
94. Kozlov I.	6. Magomedsultanov I. (A)
7. Babenko M.	21. Dudorov V. (A)
27. Lobanov I. (A)	7. Yemelyanov K.
56. Avramov F.	14. Pustovoy A.
Line 2
42. Itkin A.	57. Shapkin A.
95. Dautov M. (A)	39. Zilev L. (C)
47. Rakov P.	79. Elblaus A.
82. Drozdov V.	27. Kuzin A.
78. Sulima V. (C)	35. Shlyukov A.
Line 3
54. Kondratyev A.	48. Starkov V.
43. Chamayev A.	44. Lebedev B.
76. Tatulov G.	46. Zhukov S.
90. Barabanov M.	15. Sokol L.
25. Meshalkin D.	12. Puzeyev S.
Line 4
83. Menshenin Y.	88. Semenenko D.
81. Tarasov A.	80. Yelezov A.
80. Esaulov A.	51. Kovalenko I.
20. Vergeichik V.	95. Meshkov S.
71. Zaitsev M.	3. Kochetkov A.
Substitutes
52. Beryoza A. (G)	94. Nikulshin N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:23, 0 - 1, Shlyukov A. (G), Zilev L. (A), Kuzin A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
06:03, 0 - 2, Zhukov S. (G), Sokol L. (A), Puzeyev S. (A2)
07:11, 0 - 3, Pustovoy A. (G), Dudorov V. (A), Zilev L. (A2)
12:47, 1 - 3, Avramov F. (G), Itkin A. (A), Dautov M. (A2)
16:06, 1 - 4, Meshkov S. (G), Zhukov S. (A), Puzeyev S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:29, 2 - 4, Drozdov V. (G), Avramov F. (A), Babenko M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 0.

Kapitan Stupino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Loko is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Loko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kapitan Stupino has had a series of away games.

Recently, Loko has had a series of home games.

In this match, Loko is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 36:89. (average 1.8:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapitan Stupino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 2:3.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapitan Stupino
MHL
13.09.25	AKM-Junior - Kapitan Stupino	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Atlant - Kapitan Stupino	1:4 ✺
27.08.25	Kapitan Stupino - Atlant	3:0 ✺
21.08.25	Krylya Sovetov - Kapitan Stupino	4:3 ✺
16.08.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Kapitan Stupino	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWLL
- HC Loko Yaroslavl
MHL
13.09.25	Loko - MHC Dynamo Moscow	1:2 OT ✺
12.09.25	Loko - MHC Dynamo Moscow	6:1 ✺
09.09.25	Loko - Mikhaylov Academy	2:1 OT ✺
08.09.25	Loko - Mikhaylov Academy	7:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Almaz - Loko	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.08.25	Loko - Kapitan Stupino	5:1
MHL
25.02.25	Loko - Kapitan Stupino	3:2
19.11.24	Kapitan Stupino - Loko	0:2
07.12.23	Kapitan Stupino - Loko	0:4
06.12.23	Kapitan Stupino - Loko	2:6
24.11.23	Loko - Kapitan Stupino	5:0
23.11.23	Loko - Kapitan Stupino	9:1

Upcoming Matches