Match Info

NHL

Date: 31 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Honda Center (Anaheim, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Anaheim Ducks		Tampa Bay Lightning

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.25	2	Watch
	3.01	4.39	2.03
	3.05	4.4	2.01	Watch
	3.2	4.33	2
	2.97	4.72	2.07
	3.2	4.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.84)	4.39 ↓ (4.52)	2.01 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anaheim Ducks
30.9%

Draw
21.7%

Tampa Bay Lightning
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

21.4%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

19.8%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anaheim Ducks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anaheim Ducks than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Anaheim will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Anaheim (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tampa Bay (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1, 1st Period - Tampa Bay (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Anaheim (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Dostal L. (G)	88. Vasilevski A. (G)
14. Helleson D.	43. Raddysh D.
2. LaCombe J. (A)	90. Moser J.J.
64. Granlund Mik.	86. Kucherov N. (A)
91. Carlsson L.	21. Point B.
61. Gauthier C.	93. Goncalves G.
Line 2
65. Trouba J.	52. Groshev M.
51. Zellweger O.	51. D'Astous C.
45. Sennecke B.	59. Guentzel J. (A)
23. McTavish M. (A)	71. Cirelli A. (A)
20. Kreider C.	38. Hagel B.
Line 3
74. Moore I.	24. Crozier M.
98. Mintyukov P.	67. Carlile D.
19. Terry T.	28. Girgensons Z.
25. Poehling R.	37. Gourde Y.
13. Nesterenko N.	29. Holmberg P.
Line 4
17. Killorn A.	22. Bjorkstrand O.
16. Strome R. (A)	20. Paul N.
44. Johnston R.	46. Sabourin S.
Substitutes
34. Mrazek P. (G)	31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. Quenneville J.	. Cooper J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
13:30, 0 - 1, Moser J.J. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:01, Zellweger O. (2 min),
15:17, 1 - 1, Harkins J. (G), Johnston R. (A),
16:27, Crozier M. (2 min),
19:14, 1 - 2, Point B. (G), Crozier M. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
03:57, 2 - 2, Sennecke B. (G),
06:12, Kreider C. (2 min),
08:00, 2 - 3, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), D'Astous C. (A2)
09:33, Hagel B. (2 min),
11:47, Gourde Y. (2 min),
13:02, 3 - 3, McTavish M. (G), Mintyukov P. (A),
15:02, Mintyukov P. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:47, 3 - 4, Raddysh D. (G), Hagel B. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anaheim won 1.

Recent form of Anaheim has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tampa Bay is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Anaheim: Gudas R. (Illness)

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Injury) Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Anaheim: Johnston R. (Illness) Vatrano F. (Upper-Body Injury)

We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 2.08.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anaheim won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 44:63. (average 2.2:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Anaheim won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 2.2:2.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Anaheim Ducks - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 34.12%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 44.45%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anaheim Ducks
NHL
29.12.25	Anaheim Ducks - San Jose Sharks	4:5 ✺
27.12.25	Los Angeles Kings - Anaheim Ducks	6:1 ✺
22.12.25	Anaheim Ducks - Seattle Kraken	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Anaheim Ducks - Columbus Blue Jackets	4:3 ✺
19.12.25	Anaheim Ducks - Dallas Stars	3:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
28.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens	5:4 penalties ✺
27.12.25	Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:4 ✺
22.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - St. Louis Blues	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes	6:4 ✺
18.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Los Angeles Kings	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
25.10.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Anaheim Ducks	4:3
16.01.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Anaheim Ducks	4:3 penalties
05.01.25	Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:1
24.03.24	Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:3 OT
13.01.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Anaheim Ducks	5:1
21.02.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Anaheim Ducks	6:1
26.10.22	Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:4

Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide