The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Lightning 57.4%
Draw 20.8%
St. Louis Blues 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
21%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
21.3%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.
St. Louis Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Louis Blues might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Louis Blues could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
18.2%
18.2%
Tampa Bay Lightning - St. Louis Blues Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). St. Louis will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 35.2% – 92%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 4 - 66.7%). St. Louis (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - St. Louis (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - St. Louis (3.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 4 - 50%). St. Louis (votes: 4 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
50. Binnington J. (G)
43. Raddysh D.
55. Parayko C. (A)
90. Moser J.J.
6. Broberg P.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
89. Buchnevich P.
21. Point B.
18. Thomas R. (A)
37. Gourde Y.
29. Berggren J.
Line 2
51. D'Astous C.
72. Faulk J.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
75. Tucker T.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
28. Stenberg O.
20. Paul N.
10. Schenn B. (C)
59. Guentzel J. (A)
63. Neighbours J.
Line 3
24. Crozier M.
23. Mailloux L.
67. Carlile D.
17. Fowler C.
28. Girgensons Z.
9. Fabbri R.
71. Cirelli A.
54. Dvorsky D.
29. Holmberg P.
22. Suter P.
Line 4
93. Goncalves G.
71. Joseph M.
17. James D.
70. Sundqvist O.
62. Finley J.
13. Toropchenko A.
Substitutes
31. Johansson J. (G)
30. Hofer J. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.
. Montgomery J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
00:20, 1 - 0, Holmberg P. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Girgensons Z. (A2)
07:15, Mailloux L. (2 min),
09:12, 2 - 0, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
09:43, Girgensons Z. (2 min),
13:42, Thomas R. (2 min),
16:57, Tucker T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:43, 2 - 1, Faulk J. (G), Tucker T. (A), Stenberg O. (A2)
08:01, 3 - 1, Cirelli A. (G), Raddysh D. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:04, Mailloux L. (2 min),
05:36, 4 - 1, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
06:06, Finley J. (2 min),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
St. Louis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, St. Louis has had a series of home games.
In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E.
(Injury)
Hagel B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
There will not play in St. Louis: Bjugstad N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Holloway D.
(Ankle Injury)
Jecho A.
(Hand Injury)
Krug T.
(Ankle Injury)
Kyrou J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Snuggerud J.
(Wrist Injury)
Walker N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 53:52. (average 2.7:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 3.2:2.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 49.51%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.