Match Info

NHL

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Benchmark International Arena (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Tampa Bay Lightning		Los Angeles Kings

	1	X	2
	1.83	4	3.8	Watch
	1.83	4.29	3.65
	1.83	4.34	3.75
	1.8	4.32	3.77	Watch
	1.83	4.33	3.75
	1.88	4.62	3.55
	1.8	4.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.2)	4.33 ↑ (3.99)	3.7 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Lightning
52.2%

Draw
22%

Los Angeles Kings
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

23.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

23.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.

Los Angeles Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Kings might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Kings than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Kings could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Tampa Bay Lightning - Los Angeles Kings Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Los Angeles (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, OT - Tampa Bay (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 4 - 80%). Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)	31. Forsberg A. (G)
43. Raddysh D.	8. Doughty D. (A)
90. Moser J.J.	44. Anderson M. (A)
86. Kucherov N. (A)	9. Kempe A.
71. Cirelli A.	11. Kopitar A. (C)
38. Hagel B. (A)	14. Laferriere A.
Line 2
27. McDonagh R.	92. Clarke B.
51. D'Astous C.	6. Edmundson J.
22. Bjorkstrand O.	37. Foegele W.
21. Point B.	55. Byfield Q.
59. Guentzel J. (A)	22. Fiala K.
Line 3
24. Crozier M.	5. Ceci C.
67. Carlile D.	2. Dumoulin B.
29. Holmberg P.	12. Moore T.
37. Gourde Y.	15. Turcotte A.
28. Girgensons Z.	96. Kuzmenko A.
Line 4
49. Sabourin S.	10. Perry C.
20. Paul N.	79. Helenius S.
42. Douglas C.	40. Armia J.
Substitutes
31. Johansson J. (G)	29. Copley P. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.	. Hiller J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
11:41, Kempe A. (2 min),
12:54, 1 - 0, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
05:21, 1 - 1, Kempe A. (G), Kopitar A. (A), Perry C. (A2)
10:09, Goncalves G. (2 min),
11:11, Fiala K. (2 min),
15:58, 1 - 2, Kempe A. (G),
17:25, Anderson M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
07:45, Kempe A. (2 min),
18:55, Perry C. (10 min),
18:55, Perry C. (2 min),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.

Recent performances by Tampa Bay have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Los Angeles is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Tampa Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Injury) Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) Vasilevski A. (Injury)

There will not play in Los Angeles: Kuemper D. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Hagel B. (Upper-Body Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Los Angeles: Danault P. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 67:47. (average 3.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:20. (average 3.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Los Angeles Kings - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.3%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
15.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers	2:5 ✺
13.12.25	New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:2 penalties ✺
11.12.25	New Jersey Devils - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:8 ✺
09.12.25	Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:6 ✺
08.12.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWL
- Los Angeles Kings
NHL
17.12.25	Florida Panthers - Los Angeles Kings	3:2 ✺
15.12.25	Dallas Stars - Los Angeles Kings	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Los Angeles Kings - Calgary Flames	1:2 OT ✺
10.12.25	Seattle Kraken - Los Angeles Kings	3:2 OT ✺
08.12.25	Utah Mammoth - Los Angeles Kings	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
30.01.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Los Angeles Kings	3:0
04.01.25	Los Angeles Kings - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:1
23.03.24	Los Angeles Kings - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:3 OT
09.01.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Los Angeles Kings	3:2 OT
28.01.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Los Angeles Kings	5:2
25.10.22	Los Angeles Kings - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:2
18.01.22	Los Angeles Kings - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:6

Tampa Bay Lightning - Los Angeles Kings: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide