Match Info

IHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Aosta		Varese

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.5	3.3
	1.72	4.6	3.34
	1.69	4.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 (1.69)	4.57 ↓ (4.6)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aosta
53.1%

Draw
19.7%

Varese
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

19.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Varese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Aosta - Varese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
17:27, 1 - 0, Gesumaria A. (G), McNally B. (A), Sukhytsky S. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
14:43, 1 - 1, Bastille R. (G), Buono C. (A),
15:13, 2 - 1, Nimenko D. (G), Nardella N. (A), Lysenko V. (A2)
18:49, 3 - 1, McNally B. (G), Sukhytsky S. (A), Lysenko V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:20, 4 - 1, Gesumaria A. (G), McNally B. (A), Oberholler J. (A2)
18:14, 4 - 2, Bastille R. (G), Terzago T. (A), Maekinen W. E. H. (A2)
19:46, 4 - 3, Terzago T. (G), Bastille R. (A), Maekinen W. E. H. (A2)

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aosta won 4.

Varese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Varese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aosta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aosta won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:21. (average 4.7:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Aosta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 6:4.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Aosta	4	4	0	0	0	17:6	12
5	Varese	4	2	0	0	2	16:17	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Aosta
Italian IHL
11.02.26	Aosta - Varese	7:4 ✺
22.01.26	Varese - Aosta	3:5 ✺
17.01.26	Alleghe - Aosta	4:5 penalties ✺
02.01.26	Fassa - Aosta	6:2 ✺
23.12.25	Aosta - Valpellice	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWWLW
- HC Varese
Italian IHL
07.03.26	Alleghe - Varese	4:6 ✺
05.03.26	Varese - Alleghe	4:2 ✺
11.02.26	Aosta - Varese	7:4 ✺
22.01.26	Varese - Aosta	3:5 ✺
17.01.26	Varese - Eppan Pirates	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian IHL
11.02.26	Aosta - Varese	7:4
22.01.26	Varese - Aosta	3:5
13.11.25	Varese - Aosta	3:0
20.02.25	Aosta - Varese	5:4 penalties
18.12.24	Varese - Aosta	2:5
24.10.24	Aosta - Varese	6:5

Upcoming Matches